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德国政党格局发展新动向

作者:〔德〕露西·金斯基 〔德〕托马斯·波贡特克 出版日期:2020年08月 报告页数:18 页 报告大小: 报告字数:16632 字 所属丛书:德国蓝皮书 所属图书:德国发展报告(2020) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2019年,德国政党格局发生了巨大动荡。在2019年5月的欧洲议会选举以及此年度举行的四次州议会选举中,全民党流失大量选票,而绿党和右翼民粹主义者的支持率则在民调和选举中节节攀升。社民党在欧洲议会选举中惨败后,党主席纳勒斯辞职,几个月来该党长期忙于选举新领导。同样,基民盟也继续遭受选举新主席的困扰。自2019年年底以来,存在在2021年联邦议院选举后联盟党和绿党组建执政联盟的可能性,也存在由绿党、社民党和左翼党组成左翼联合政府的可能性。

Abstract:German party politics were over the course of 2019 characterized by substantial disarray. The parties of the grand coalition lost considerable ground in the European elections of May 2019 and a series of Länder elections,while the Greens and the right-wing populists continued to gain ground in the polls and also at the ballot box. Following the disastrous result of the SPD in the European elections,party leader Andrea Nahles resigne... 展开

Abstract:German party politics were over the course of 2019 characterized by substantial disarray. The parties of the grand coalition lost considerable ground in the European elections of May 2019 and a series of Länder elections,while the Greens and the right-wing populists continued to gain ground in the polls and also at the ballot box. Following the disastrous result of the SPD in the European elections,party leader Andrea Nahles resigned,and the party was for several months occupied with choosing a new leadership. The CDU was also affected by leadership problems. At the end of 2019,a CDU/CSU-Green coalition after the next regular Bundestag elections in 2021 seems likely,but a left-wing coalition consisting of the Greens,the SPD and the Left is still also a possibility.

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作者简介

〔德〕露西·金斯基:露西·金斯基(Lucy Kinski),德国杜塞尔多夫海因里希·海内大学德国与国际政党法与政治研究所研究人员,主要研究领域为比较政治、政党研究。

〔德〕托马斯·波贡特克:托马斯·波贡特克(Thomas Poguntke),德国杜塞尔多夫海因里希·海内大学比较政治学教授、德国与国际政党法与政治研究所所长,主要研究领域为比较政治、政党研究。