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津巴布韦政治剧变:原因、影响和走势

作者:吴传华 出版日期:2018年07月 报告页数:16 页 报告大小: 报告字数:13381 字 所属丛书:非洲黄皮书 所属图书:非洲发展报告.No.20(2017~2018):非洲形势:新情况、新特点和新趋势 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2017年11月,津巴布韦发生举世瞩目的政治剧变,93岁高龄的穆加贝总统被迫辞职,原副总统姆南加古瓦继任总统,实现了一场不流血的“和平权力交接”。津巴布韦突发政治剧变,有其直接原因、深层次原因和根本原因。此次事件标志着长达37年的“穆加贝时代”最终结束,津巴布韦由此迎来一个新的时代。姆南加古瓦执政以后,在政治、经济、外交等领域采取一系列改革措施,力图重塑津巴布韦形象,改善对外关系,发展经济和改善民生。这些举措已初见成效,并为姆南加古瓦赢得了广泛... 展开

文章摘要:2017年11月,津巴布韦发生举世瞩目的政治剧变,93岁高龄的穆加贝总统被迫辞职,原副总统姆南加古瓦继任总统,实现了一场不流血的“和平权力交接”。津巴布韦突发政治剧变,有其直接原因、深层次原因和根本原因。此次事件标志着长达37年的“穆加贝时代”最终结束,津巴布韦由此迎来一个新的时代。姆南加古瓦执政以后,在政治、经济、外交等领域采取一系列改革措施,力图重塑津巴布韦形象,改善对外关系,发展经济和改善民生。这些举措已初见成效,并为姆南加古瓦赢得了广泛支持。对于即将到来的2018年大选,姆南加古瓦获胜连任总统的可能性较大,此外,反对党的团结与联合、选举暴力及西方国家的反应等都将成为人们关注的焦点。

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Abstract:In November 2017,great political changes occurred in Southern African country Zimbabwe resulting in a peaceful transition of power. The 93-year-old president Robert Mugabe resigned and the former vice president Emmerson Mnangagwa succeeded as president of Zimbabwe. The political changes,marking the end of 37 years “Mugabe Era”and the beginning of a new era,have direct causes,deep causes and fundamental causes. President Mnangagw... 展开

Abstract:In November 2017,great political changes occurred in Southern African country Zimbabwe resulting in a peaceful transition of power. The 93-year-old president Robert Mugabe resigned and the former vice president Emmerson Mnangagwa succeeded as president of Zimbabwe. The political changes,marking the end of 37 years “Mugabe Era”and the beginning of a new era,have direct causes,deep causes and fundamental causes. President Mnangagwa carried out a series of reform and opening-up policies in politics,economy and diplomacy,aiming at rebuilding the national image,improving the investment environment,developing economy and enhancing people's livelihood. These measures have achieved initial success and won wide support for the new government of Mnangagwa. There is strong possibility that the incumbent president Mnangagwa will win the general election of 2018. Meanwhile,issues such as the union of the opposition parties,political violence,and the responses of the western countries,are also the focus of attention.

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作者简介

吴传华:吴传华,国际政治专业法学博士,中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所“民族问题与非洲发展”创新工程项目执行研究员。