美国大选与TPP的前景

Abstract:The Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement is in the process of domestic approval by 12 member countries. The dominant position and huge economic scale of the US determines that the US’s domestic approval is key for the fate of TPP. The US president and congress election delays the approval of TPP. Meanwhile，negative attitudes from the new president candidates，and oppositions from some congressmen and interest groups make the future of TPP unclear. Our analysis reveal that the TPP will be approved at last even though faced with many challenges. If the Obama government could finish the ratification of the TPP in Lame Duck Session Congress，the agreement will take effect soon. If the approval has been postponed to the new president period，the TPP will fall into a further debate.

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