中国宏观经济形势分析与展望
文章摘要：中国经济在2016年经历了超出预期的反弹。此前一度非常流行的通缩担忧大大缓解，工业企业利润有显著改善。这一切主要来自以房地产为代表的周期性行业反弹。然而，周期性行业反弹对中长期的经济增长信心提振有限，中国经济下行的趋势并未结束，推动经济增长的中长期力量还在减退，经济潜在增速还在下降。中国正在经历的经济结构转型，与高收入国家曾经历的经济结构转型期经验高度一致，无须对经济增速下降过度担忧，但需要尽快突破经济增长新动能所面临的瓶颈。本文提出了三... 展开
Abstract:Chinese economy witnessed a rebound driven by real estate sector in 2016. However，China’s potential economic growth rate was still on the downward trend. China’s economic transformation process is similar to experience of high income economies rather than experience of those economies trapped in middle income. Reforms in many areas are required to enhance China’s economic growth potential，such as development of metropolitan areas... 展开
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