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英国“从全球事务中撤退”了吗?——2014~2015年英国对外政策辨析

作者:曲兵 出版日期:2015年10月 报告页数:16 页 报告大小: 报告字数:15975 字 所属丛书:英国蓝皮书 所属图书:英国发展报告(2014~2015) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2014年以来,英国外交呈现出“低调”和“不作为”的特征,引发英国国内及国际社会的不满与批评,很多评论认为英国已经“从全球事务中撤退”。本文详细考察了所谓英国“撤退”的“论据”及这一时期英国外交的主要表现,认为英国政府“经济外交”特色鲜明,在国际舞台上亦十分活跃,“不作为”只是体现在对外干预方面。进而结合经济、历史、内政、理念等因素,探讨了英国外交“低调”的几个原因。本文最后认为,在未来两到三年的时间里,英国外交仍会比较“内向”,但说英国... 展开

文章摘要:2014年以来,英国外交呈现出“低调”和“不作为”的特征,引发英国国内及国际社会的不满与批评,很多评论认为英国已经“从全球事务中撤退”。本文详细考察了所谓英国“撤退”的“论据”及这一时期英国外交的主要表现,认为英国政府“经济外交”特色鲜明,在国际舞台上亦十分活跃,“不作为”只是体现在对外干预方面。进而结合经济、历史、内政、理念等因素,探讨了英国外交“低调”的几个原因。本文最后认为,在未来两到三年的时间里,英国外交仍会比较“内向”,但说英国“从世界舞台撤退”有些言过其实。真正发生变化的是英国介入国际事务的方式,英国政府会更注重运用软实力手段来维护自身的影响力。英美“特殊关系”有所松动但不会终结,未来可能呈现“菜单式伙伴关系”的特点。

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Abstract:British foreign policy has been characterised with “low profile” and “inaction” since the beginning of 2014. Many critics argue that Britain is retreating from the world stage. This article examines these views,as well as the practices of British foreign policy during this period. The article indicates that the British government led by David Cameron has carried out a distinctive “economic diplomacy” and played an active role i... 展开

Abstract:British foreign policy has been characterised with “low profile” and “inaction” since the beginning of 2014. Many critics argue that Britain is retreating from the world stage. This article examines these views,as well as the practices of British foreign policy during this period. The article indicates that the British government led by David Cameron has carried out a distinctive “economic diplomacy” and played an active role in the issues such as Afghan election,and anti-Ebola campaign. However,the British government has been reluctant to get involved in the Ukraine crisis and in the strikes against the Islamic State. The author tries to answer why British foreign policy has become “low profiled” by analysing relevant economic,historical,political and ideological factors. It is safe to predict that Britain will still be “inward-looking” in the near future but it is an exaggeration that Britain will withdraw from world affairs. The real change is Britain’s approach to world affairs,that is,it focuses more on “soft measures” than the hard ones in order to maintain its global influence. The Anglo-American special relationship will not fall apart,but selective approach will become its main characteristics in the future.

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作者简介

曲兵:曲兵,中国现代国际关系研究院欧洲所副研究员。