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2020年东盟一体化:现状、挑战与前景

作者:李致斐 出版日期:2021年12月 报告页数:21 页 报告大小: 报告字数:20772 字 所属丛书:印度洋地区蓝皮书 所属图书:印度洋地区发展报告(2021) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:近年来,被誉为区域一体化成功典范的欧盟经历多重危机,引发对区域主义发展前景的激烈讨论。在动荡的国际局势下,东盟作为亚太区域合作的引领者,能否保持内部团结,坚定践行多边主义和自由贸易不仅关乎东盟共同体的命运,也深刻影响着亚太地区的繁荣与稳定。当前,大国战略竞争升级、区域机制效力不足、民粹主义日益膨胀,在一定程度上增强了东盟成员的离心倾向,对东盟一体化发展形成了阻碍。但东盟国家在国际体系中的结构性身份没有改变,《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》... 展开

文章摘要:近年来,被誉为区域一体化成功典范的欧盟经历多重危机,引发对区域主义发展前景的激烈讨论。在动荡的国际局势下,东盟作为亚太区域合作的引领者,能否保持内部团结,坚定践行多边主义和自由贸易不仅关乎东盟共同体的命运,也深刻影响着亚太地区的繁荣与稳定。当前,大国战略竞争升级、区域机制效力不足、民粹主义日益膨胀,在一定程度上增强了东盟成员的离心倾向,对东盟一体化发展形成了阻碍。但东盟国家在国际体系中的结构性身份没有改变,《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》(RCEP)的签署减少了逆全球化风险,给东盟经济复苏注入了强劲动力。若东盟能够完善制度建设、坚持“以人为本”的社会治理理念,积极开展多边合作、提升战略自主性,那么东盟就可以呈现区域合作的应有价值,维持联盟凝聚力,避免走向分裂。

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Abstract:In recent years,the European Union,which used to be a successful model of regional integration,has experienced multiple crises and triggered discussions on the further development of regionalism. As the pioneer of regional cooperation in the Asia-Pacific,ASEAN’s sense of unity will not only affect the construction of community,but the stability and prosperity of the whole region as well. To some extent,the escalation of strateg... 展开

Abstract:In recent years,the European Union,which used to be a successful model of regional integration,has experienced multiple crises and triggered discussions on the further development of regionalism. As the pioneer of regional cooperation in the Asia-Pacific,ASEAN’s sense of unity will not only affect the construction of community,but the stability and prosperity of the whole region as well. To some extent,the escalation of strategic competition among major powers,the weak effectiveness of regional mechanisms and the growing populism have strengthened the centrifugal tendency of ASEAN members. However,the structural identity of ASEAN countries remains the same,and the signing of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) has reduced the risk of de-globalization and given a strong impetus to the economic recovery in the post-epidemic era. As long as ASEAN could improve the institutional level,adhere to the people-centered governance and actively engage in multilateral cooperation,it will be able to maintain the cohesiveness and avoid splitting.

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作者简介

李致斐:李致斐,云南财经大学印度洋地区研究中心讲师。