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南非如何走出治理困局再现发展活力

作者:杨立华 出版日期:2019年08月 报告页数:22 页 报告大小: 报告字数:27041 字 所属丛书:非洲黄皮书 所属图书:非洲发展报告No.21(2018~2019) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:新南非已走过25年基本稳定和包容的发展历程。但是在祖马总统第二任期间,陷入治理困局,权力滥用、官员腐败,财经秩序受到冲击,经济增长缓慢,民众不满增加,导致非国大支持率大幅下降,威胁到执政地位。2017年底非国大权力交接,拉马福萨在激烈的竞争中当选非国大主席,并在2018年2月当选南非总统,成为众望所归的政治领袖。拉马福萨政府在维护非国大团结,坚持南非的包容性发展道路,组建正直、专业、高效的执政团队,推动反腐败依法、有序、公开进行,坚持依法、有序... 展开

文章摘要:新南非已走过25年基本稳定和包容的发展历程。但是在祖马总统第二任期间,陷入治理困局,权力滥用、官员腐败,财经秩序受到冲击,经济增长缓慢,民众不满增加,导致非国大支持率大幅下降,威胁到执政地位。2017年底非国大权力交接,拉马福萨在激烈的竞争中当选非国大主席,并在2018年2月当选南非总统,成为众望所归的政治领袖。拉马福萨政府在维护非国大团结,坚持南非的包容性发展道路,组建正直、专业、高效的执政团队,推动反腐败依法、有序、公开进行,坚持依法、有序、公平推进土地改革,改善投资环境和尽快恢复经济发展等方面,有明确的政策和举措,使南非出现发展新契机。虽然仍面临诸多不确定性因素,但是非国大在2019年大选中有望获胜。今后五年对南非而言是兴衰攸关的时期,大选后新政府任务艰巨、面临重重困难,但是南非国内外对拉马福萨政府的期待值比较高,乐见南非再现发展活力。

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Abstract:South Africa has been undergoing for 25 years in a relatively stable and inclusive development. However under President Zuma’s second term,a governance constraint occurred,including power abuse,wide spread corruption of “state capture”,distortion of financial order,a technical recession of its economy,and a growing discontent of the public,all these led to the sharp decline of popular support to the ANC,posing an alarm to i... 展开

Abstract:South Africa has been undergoing for 25 years in a relatively stable and inclusive development. However under President Zuma’s second term,a governance constraint occurred,including power abuse,wide spread corruption of “state capture”,distortion of financial order,a technical recession of its economy,and a growing discontent of the public,all these led to the sharp decline of popular support to the ANC,posing an alarm to its ruling party status. The ANC’s National Congress in December 2017 became a critical juncture of power transfer to save the ruling party from its governance dilemma. With the election of Cyril Ramaphosa as the ANC’s new president and thereafter the National Assembly elected him as the State President,a hope of renewal was widely felt. The Ramaphosa administration has put forward clear policies and measures in uniting the ANC and forming a strong and accountable cabinet,in dealing with anti-corruption as well as the sensible land reform in an open and transparent way,and pushing forward strong investment -friendly efforts,so as to make South Africa’s economy to recover in a healthy way. Although uncertainties and challenges were still there,the ANC led by Ramaphosa as the majority expected,won the 2019 National Election in May 2019 with 57.5% of the votes. The next 5 years will be a crucial period in South Africa’s development. High expectation in South Africa and from abroad hope to see the country’s rejuvenation.

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作者简介

杨立华:杨立华,中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所、中国非洲研究院研究员,主要研究南非国别和南部非洲区域一体化、非洲联盟和非洲大陆自主一体化发展以及非洲国际关系(含中非关系)。