新兴技术与产业发展变化

Abstract:In 2016，traditional industries still play a key role in the global economy，but the importance of emerging sectors rises steadily. From the perspective of countries，China becomes the top one exporter of automatic data processing machines and units，telephone sets，semiconductor devices，sub-integrated circuits and insulated conductors，while it still falls behind in industries，like medicaments，spacecrafts and precision instruments. The lack of R&D investment may be an important reason for China’s falling behind. When it comes to the world technology frontier，during the period 2016-2017，most breakthrough technologies happen in information technology，biology，medical care and chemical sectors，such as quantum computer，the cell atlas and new cobalt-phosphorus hydrolysis catalyst. However，most of them are not applied to business now，therefore they did not bring about an increase in the growth rate of worldwide total factor productivity. But we can expect that these technologies would bring global industries to a world with more intelligence，efficiency and health in the future. At that time，the world economy might see a suddenly rising of emerging industries，a renaissance in traditional industries，a relocation of global industrial chain，an enlargement of the boundary of firms and an enhanced shock from machines to unskilled and low-skill workers.

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