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国际社会对非洲直接投资

作者:闫实强 出版日期:2017年07月 报告页数:16 页 报告大小: 报告字数:11251 字 所属丛书:非洲黄皮书 所属图书:非洲发展报告No.19(2016~2017) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2015年以来,国际社会对非洲投资出现持续下滑态势,投资的区域分布变动呈现“北上南下”的态势。非洲5个次区域的国际投资变动差异较大,吸引国际投资最多的5个非洲国家增幅悬殊;并购金额虽然翻两番,但绿地投资仍占主导;新兴(发展中)国家在非投资日益活跃,但发达国家仍占优势地位。从趋势上看,部分非洲国家投资体制自由化和国有资产私有化将吸引更多的国际投资,服务业和制造业吸引的国际投资将持续增加,东非地区将吸引更多国际资本流入制造业。2015年,中国对非投... 展开

文章摘要:2015年以来,国际社会对非洲投资出现持续下滑态势,投资的区域分布变动呈现“北上南下”的态势。非洲5个次区域的国际投资变动差异较大,吸引国际投资最多的5个非洲国家增幅悬殊;并购金额虽然翻两番,但绿地投资仍占主导;新兴(发展中)国家在非投资日益活跃,但发达国家仍占优势地位。从趋势上看,部分非洲国家投资体制自由化和国有资产私有化将吸引更多的国际投资,服务业和制造业吸引的国际投资将持续增加,东非地区将吸引更多国际资本流入制造业。2015年,中国对非投资流量略有下降,投资国别(地区)和投资领域分布仍相对集中。未来中国对非洲投资规模有望整体上实现恢复性增长,投资行业分布有望更加多元平衡,中非合作机制有望进一步完善;与此同时,局部安全风险仍将继续存在,国际竞争压力将进一步加大,负面舆论困扰短时间内难以消除。

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Abstract:Since 2015,FDI inflow in Africa has experienced a persistent decline. The shift of regional distribution between North Africa and Sub-Saharan Africa has presented a “north up,south down” posture. The shift of FDI inflows among five sub-regions has shown great differences. The growth change of FDI inflows differ markedly in five top African countries which are the most attractive to FDI. Although M&A quadrupled,the green-fields in... 展开

Abstract:Since 2015,FDI inflow in Africa has experienced a persistent decline. The shift of regional distribution between North Africa and Sub-Saharan Africa has presented a “north up,south down” posture. The shift of FDI inflows among five sub-regions has shown great differences. The growth change of FDI inflows differ markedly in five top African countries which are the most attractive to FDI. Although M&A quadrupled,the green-fields investment still accounts for the majority. Although emerging countries has been increasingly active in the investment in Africa,the developed countries are still the largest investors in Africa. In the future,with the liberalization of investment system and the privatization of state-owned assets,some African countries will attract more inflows of international investment. The FDI inflows in the service and manufacturing sectors will continue to rise. East Africa will attract more FDI flows in manufacturing. In 2015,Chinese investment flows in Africa fell slightly,and the distribution of investment is still relatively concentrated on few countries and areas. In the future,Chinese direct investment in Africa is expected to realize the restorative growth on the whole. The industrial distribution of the investment is expected to be more balanced. The cooperation mechanism between China and Africa is expected to further improve. Meanwhile,security risks in some areas will continue to exist;the pressure caused by international competition will increase further;and the negative public opinion is difficult to eliminate in a short period of time.

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作者简介

闫实强:闫实强,中国商务部国际贸易经济合作研究院对外投资合作研究所副研究员,经济学博士,主要研究对外直接投资理论与政策、国际产能合作、中非投资合作、对外投资可持续发展等问题。