国际大宗商品市场形势回顾与展望
文章摘要:2014年世界经济增长率将有所回升,但是大宗商品价格指数将会下降。这主要是因为世界经济增长率的回升引起通胀预期的提高和全球宽松货币条件的收紧。货币金融因素将主导2014年国际大宗商品价格下行。原油价格也将再一次出现下降趋势,2014年将可能跌到100美元/桶的价格以下。
Abstract:we expect that in 2014, the world GDP growth rate is likely to accelerate, but the international commodity prices will fall. The crude oil price will even drop to below US $ 100 a barrel again. These are mainly due to the increase in the expected inflation rate as the world economy recovers and the tightening of the super-loose monetary conditions in the world. 展开