中国城市碳达峰指数与市场动量研究

Abstract:Carbon peaking is the inevitable result of high-quality and sustainable urban development，and the study of urban carbon peaking is a study of the elemental relationships of urban sustainable development. This article optimizes the index of urban green development and carbon emission peaking in the 2022 blue book report. It constructs quantitative models based on the AHP model for the comprehensive index of sustainable development of Chinese cities，the DEA model for the efficiency analysis of sustainable development of Chinese cities，and the Mann-Kendall model for the analysis of carbon emission trends of Chinese cities. The construction of the carbon peaking index of Chinese cities is completed. Furthermore，it constructs a panoramic framework of China’s urban carbon peaking momentum based on policy momentum and market momentum. Finally，a trend and structural analysis of China’s provinces and cities is conducted from the micro perspectives of policy tools，carbon technology，carbon market，green finance，and carbon enterprises. Research results indicate that regions with lagging urban development and an unreasonable energy structure will face significant pressure to achieve carbon emissions peak. The market dynamics are of great significance for urban carbon peaking，based on which relevant policy recommen-dations have been proposed.

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