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布基纳法索两次政变加剧局势恶化

作者:余文胜 出版日期:2023年07月 报告页数:16 页 报告大小: 报告字数:16600 字 所属丛书:非洲黄皮书 所属图书:非洲发展报告No.25(2022~2023) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2022年1月和9月,西非国家布基纳法索两度发生政变夺权。在短期内发生两次政变,折射出该国安全形势持续恶化导致国内矛盾白热化,同时也凸显出地区安全、发展、治理等多重危机。9月政变再次发生后,布基纳法索军方政变领导人重新开启政治过渡,使该国过渡进程更加曲折复杂。两任军人过渡总统均把打击恐怖主义、改善国内安全视为政策的“重中之重”,并力图应对国内严重的经济社会危机和人道主义危机。但由于政策重点集中于应对安全挑战,缓解经济社会危机和人道主义危机的... 展开

文章摘要:2022年1月和9月,西非国家布基纳法索两度发生政变夺权。在短期内发生两次政变,折射出该国安全形势持续恶化导致国内矛盾白热化,同时也凸显出地区安全、发展、治理等多重危机。9月政变再次发生后,布基纳法索军方政变领导人重新开启政治过渡,使该国过渡进程更加曲折复杂。两任军人过渡总统均把打击恐怖主义、改善国内安全视为政策的“重中之重”,并力图应对国内严重的经济社会危机和人道主义危机。但由于政策重点集中于应对安全挑战,缓解经济社会危机和人道主义危机的精力和资源投入十分有限,预计该国经济社会危机和人道主义危机将继续加剧。同时,由于距离2024年7月军人过渡总统承诺“还政于民”所剩的时间很短,布基纳法索过渡政府在政治、经济、军事、社会治理方面很难有大的作为或深层次改革,预计该国动荡不安的状况还将持续很长时间。2022年1月布基纳法索发生政变后,美国、法国等主要援助国和国际组织暂停了除人道主义援助以外的其他援助;9月政变发生后,布基纳法索与法国关系出现紧张,国内反法情绪高涨、抗议示威不断,推动布基纳法索军人过渡总统选择传统伙伴法国以外的其他国际伙伴,这些都将影响该国对外关系和国际合作的未来走向。

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Abstract:In January and September 2022,Burkina Faso,a West African country,twice seized power in coups d’état. The second coup d’état in a short period of time reflects the continued deterioration of the country’s security situation,which has led to a feverish internal conflict,and highlights the multiple crises of regional security,development and governance. After another coup in September,the coupleader in Burkina Faso resumed the... 展开

Abstract:In January and September 2022,Burkina Faso,a West African country,twice seized power in coups d’état. The second coup d’état in a short period of time reflects the continued deterioration of the country’s security situation,which has led to a feverish internal conflict,and highlights the multiple crises of regional security,development and governance. After another coup in September,the coupleader in Burkina Faso resumed the political transition,making the country’s transition process more complex and tortuous. Both military transitional presidents have made the fight against terrorism and the improvement of internal security a “top priority” and have sought to address the country’s serious economic,social and humanitarian crises. However,the economic,social and humanitarian crisis in the country is expected to continue to grow as a result of the policy focus on security challenges and the limited energy and resources devoted to alleviating it. At the same time,with only a short time left before the military transitional president promises to “return power to the people” in July 2024,it will be difficult for the transitional government to make significant political,economic,military and social governance changes,and the country is expected to remain in a state of unrest for a long time. Following the coup d’état in January,the United States,France and other major aid donors and international organizations suspended aid other than humanitarian aid;after the coup d’état in September,tensions arose between Burkina Faso and France,and anti-French sentiment and protests in the country pushed the military transitional president to choose international partners other than his traditional partner France. These will influence the future direction of the country’s external relations and international cooperation.

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作者简介

余文胜:余文胜,中国现代国际关系研究院非洲研究所研究员,主要研究领域为法语非洲国家、非洲政治与安全、非洲恐怖主义、中非关系、法非关系、欧非关系等。