2021~2022年俄罗斯经济：复苏和通胀

Abstract:The social distancing measures triggered by the epidemic of the coronavirus and the sharp decline in international oil and gas prices have caused the Russian economy to drop by 3% in 2020，but its domestic consumption and exports have shown some resilience in response to the shock of the epidemic. Russia’s future economic recovery is mixed. High international energy prices and a rapid rebound in domestic demand will promote Russian economic recovery，while low vaccination rates，monetary policy tightening triggered by high inflation rate，conservative fiscal policies，and US economic sanctions will increase economic downside risks. It is estimated that Russia’s economic growth rate will be around 4.5% in 2021 and will decline to about 3% in 2022.

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