2019~2060年福建省终端用能电气化发展报告

Abstract:This report introduces the calculation method of electrification rate，analyzes the development and current situation of electrification rate by different fields in Fujian from the view of the whole society，and forecasts the electrification rate in 2030 and 2060 based on Johansen co-integration test and ECM model. With the preliminary calculation，the electrification rate of Fujian was 28.8% in 2019，the electrification rate of Fujian will reach 40% and 42% in 2030 in the scenario of baseline and electrification acceleration respectively，and 61% and 74% in 2060 respectively. In general，there is still large space for the improvement of the electrification rate in Fujian. It is necessary to proceed with multiple aspects of production and ways of living to promote a new level of provincial electrification.

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