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2018年的美国政治:党争更为激烈 社会寻求改变

作者:刘卫东 出版日期:2019年09月 报告页数:18 页 报告大小: 报告字数:18436 字 所属丛书:美国蓝皮书 所属图书:美国研究报告(2019) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2018年的美国政治出现了两种不同的趋势。一方面,民主共和两党间的对抗愈演愈烈;另一方面,对现实愈发的不满推动了社会在反思之余开始寻求改变。特朗普政府依然坚持其执政风格,并利用核心选民的支持迫使共和党“特朗普化”;民主党与有色人种和女性的互动也更为密切。两党都呈现出一种身份政治的特征,并在大法官提名、政府预算、移民与公民权、“通俄门”调查等议题上展开了更为激烈的斗争。与此同时,新媒体的造星运动也推动着以议题为导向的更广泛的政治参与。在2018... 展开

文章摘要:2018年的美国政治出现了两种不同的趋势。一方面,民主共和两党间的对抗愈演愈烈;另一方面,对现实愈发的不满推动了社会在反思之余开始寻求改变。特朗普政府依然坚持其执政风格,并利用核心选民的支持迫使共和党“特朗普化”;民主党与有色人种和女性的互动也更为密切。两党都呈现出一种身份政治的特征,并在大法官提名、政府预算、移民与公民权、“通俄门”调查等议题上展开了更为激烈的斗争。与此同时,新媒体的造星运动也推动着以议题为导向的更广泛的政治参与。在2018年的中期选举中两党各有输赢,但民主党的实际表现比表面更好。随着更多女性和出身更广泛的候选人进入政府,两党的对抗会更为激烈,并影响各自的党内建设。预计在2019年的美国政治中,两党会把竞争重点放在实质性问题的争夺上,并针对即将到来的大选提前展开部署。

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Abstract:There are two different trends in American politics in 2018. On the one hand,the confrontation between the Democrat and the Republican became more intensified;On the other hand,growing dissatisfaction with reality has prompted society to seek change beyond reflection. The trump administration has stuck to its governing style and used the support of its core voters to force the GOP to “trumpize”,meanwhile the Democrat’s interact... 展开

Abstract:There are two different trends in American politics in 2018. On the one hand,the confrontation between the Democrat and the Republican became more intensified;On the other hand,growing dissatisfaction with reality has prompted society to seek change beyond reflection. The trump administration has stuck to its governing style and used the support of its core voters to force the GOP to “trumpize”,meanwhile the Democrat’s interaction with colored people and female is closer. Both parties present a feature of identity politics,and wage more fierce struggles on issues such as the nomination of grand justices,government budget,immigration and citizenship,and Russia investigation. Moreover,the new media’s star-making campaign also promotes broader political participation with topic-orientation. In the midterm elections of 2018,there are wins and losses in both parties,but the Democrats are doing better than they seem. With more female and more candidates from a wider range of backgrounds entering the government,the confrontation between the two parties will become more fierce,which will affect their respective party building. It is expected that the two parties will focus on the competition of substantive issues in 2019,and deploy ahead of time for the upcoming general elections.

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作者简介

刘卫东:刘卫东,中国社会科学院美国研究所研究员,主要研究领域为美国政治与东北亚安全问题。