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2018年新形势下上海合作组织成员国的经济发展

作者:郭晓琼 出版日期:2019年05月 报告页数:20 页 报告大小: 报告字数:18239 字 所属丛书:上海合作组织黄皮书 所属图书:上海合作组织发展报告(2019) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2018年,世界经济扩张趋势减弱,原油等大宗商品波动性增强,发达经济体通胀受到抑制,全球金融紧缩。世界经济面临的不确定性和挑战增多,受到贸易紧张局势加剧、金融市场脆弱性增强、全球经济不平衡加剧、新兴市场承压及一些非经济因素的影响和威胁。在这样的背景下,上海合作组织成员国经济虽整体向好,但增速普遍下降;受国际能源价格回升的影响,俄、哈等能源供应国出口形势大幅改善,但汇率波动较大;塔吉克斯坦和巴基斯坦的债务风险加剧。

Abstract:In 2018,the trend of world economic expansion weakened,the volatility of commodities such as crude oil increased,inflation in developed economies was suppressed,and global finance contracted. The uncertainties and challenges facing the world economy have increased,trade tensions have intensified,financial market vulnerabilities have increased,global economic imbalances have intensified,and emerging markets have been under the ... 展开

Abstract:In 2018,the trend of world economic expansion weakened,the volatility of commodities such as crude oil increased,inflation in developed economies was suppressed,and global finance contracted. The uncertainties and challenges facing the world economy have increased,trade tensions have intensified,financial market vulnerabilities have increased,global economic imbalances have intensified,and emerging markets have been under the threat of some non-economic factors. In this context,the overall economic situation of the member states of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization is good,but the growth rate has been on the decline. Due to the rebound in international energy prices,the export situation of Russia,Kazakhstan and other energy supply countries has improved substantially,with fluctuations in the exchange rate though. The debt risks of Tajikistan and Pakistan have intensified.

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作者简介

郭晓琼:郭晓琼,中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所副研究员,中俄战略协作高端合作智库理事、办公室副主任。