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2014年总统大选对阿富汗政治及安全局势的影响

作者:叶海林 出版日期:2015年01月 报告页数:13 页 报告大小: 报告字数:10467 字 所属丛书:亚太蓝皮书 所属图书:亚太地区发展报告(2015) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2014年阿富汗总统大选是美国在阿富汗展开“持久自由行动”以来,阿国内首次以选举形式实现权力交接。此次选举也是北约多国安全援助部队结束在阿作战任务前影响阿富汗国内政局发展和安全形势变化的最重要因素。本文简要回顾了2014年阿富汗总统选举的发展演进过程,对阿国内外有关各方的行为和政策动机进行了分析和梳理,对其采取策略的效果进行了评估。在此基础上,对未来阿富汗政治和安全局势的发展演变做出了预测。

Abstract:2014 Afghanistan Presidential Election is the first time that Afghanistan realizes power transition in the form of election since the US carried out Operation Enduring Freedom. This election is also the most important element that influences development of political situation and changes of security situation in Afghanistan before NATO troops end their tasks in the country. After a brief review of the development of this election,thi... 展开

Abstract:2014 Afghanistan Presidential Election is the first time that Afghanistan realizes power transition in the form of election since the US carried out Operation Enduring Freedom. This election is also the most important element that influences development of political situation and changes of security situation in Afghanistan before NATO troops end their tasks in the country. After a brief review of the development of this election,this paper analyzes actions and policy motives of related parties in Afghanistan and also evaluates the effectiveness of their strategies. On this basis,the paper provides a prediction on the future development of political and security situation in Afghanistan.

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作者简介

叶海林:叶海林,硕士,中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院《南亚研究》编辑部主任,华东师范大学国际关系与地区发展研究院地区安全研究中心主任,云南财经大学印度洋研究中心国际战略研究所所长,副研究员。