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2019~2020年墨西哥现政府经济政策分析与效果评估

作者:刘学东 出版日期:2021年12月 报告页数:19 页 报告大小: 报告字数:22323 字 所属图书:世界近现代史研究(第十八辑) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2018年底上台执政的国家复兴运动党,成为墨西哥现代史上的首个左派执政党政府。在就职演讲中,当任总统洛佩斯明确指出,实施30多年的新自由主义政策,不仅是该国经济低速增长运行的主要原因,并且也由此进一步加剧了存在已久的社会问题,诸如收入分配不公和腐败等。因此,在其未来执政的六年中,不仅意味着执政党以及执政理念的替换,而且更是墨西哥第四次社会变革的开始。具体在经济政策领域,建立在“道德经济学”基础之上的治国措施,在逐渐取代新自由主义方案的同时,... 展开

文章摘要:2018年底上台执政的国家复兴运动党,成为墨西哥现代史上的首个左派执政党政府。在就职演讲中,当任总统洛佩斯明确指出,实施30多年的新自由主义政策,不仅是该国经济低速增长运行的主要原因,并且也由此进一步加剧了存在已久的社会问题,诸如收入分配不公和腐败等。因此,在其未来执政的六年中,不仅意味着执政党以及执政理念的替换,而且更是墨西哥第四次社会变革的开始。具体在经济政策领域,建立在“道德经济学”基础之上的治国措施,在逐渐取代新自由主义方案的同时,将无疑会对经济活动产生强大刺激作用,从而走出低水平徘徊的局面,有望实现年均4%的增长速度。但是到目前为止,这些新举措的实施效果并不理想,不仅没有使当地经济走出低速增长的困境,而且还由此遭受了巨大挑战,在执政的第一年,便遇到了自2009年以来的首次经济负增长。2020年,更是在新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情的冲击之下,其成为全球经济衰退最为严重的国家之一。

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Abstract:The Movimiento de Regeneración Nacional(Morena)Party,which came to power at the end of 2018,became the first leftist government in Mexico’s modern history. In his inauguration speech,the new President Lopez clearly pointed out that the implementation of the neoliberal policy for more than 30 years was the main reason for the country’s low economic growth,and this has further aggravated the long-standing social problems,such a... 展开

Abstract:The Movimiento de Regeneración Nacional(Morena)Party,which came to power at the end of 2018,became the first leftist government in Mexico’s modern history. In his inauguration speech,the new President Lopez clearly pointed out that the implementation of the neoliberal policy for more than 30 years was the main reason for the country’s low economic growth,and this has further aggravated the long-standing social problems,such as unequal income distribution and corruption. Therefore,in the next six years of the administration,it not only meant the replacement of the ruling party and its ruling ideas,but also the beginning of the fourth social transformation in Mexico. Specifically,in the field of economic policy,the governance measures based on “moral economics” will undoubtedly stimulate economic activities while gradually replacing the neoliberal program,and will draw the economic growth out of the low level. It is expected to reach an average annual growth rate of 4%. But so far,the consequences of these new measures have not been satisfactory. Not only did the local economy fail to get out of the dilemma of low-speed growth,but it also suffered huge challenges from it. In the first year of the administration,Mexico encountered the first negative economic growth since 2009. In 2020,under the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic,Mexico has become one of the countries that suffered the most severe economic recession in the world.

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作者简介

刘学东:刘学东,经济学博士,墨西哥国立自治大学终身教授