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中东地区政治安全形势评估(2020~2021)

作者:张元 出版日期:2022年01月 报告页数:13 页 报告大小: 报告字数:11910 字 所属丛书:国际形势黄皮书 所属图书:全球政治与安全报告(2022) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2020年8月至2021年8月,中东地区热点问题主要包括:拜登政府上台后,美伊关系较特朗普执政时期有一定缓和,不过由于双方在关键利益方面难以妥协,恢复伊核协议存在不确定性;美国甩包袱似地结束反恐战争,造成阿富汗国内及周边地区安全形势骤然紧张;巴以问题再度激化,斋月期间加沙地带爆发大规模冲突;叙利亚内战和也门战争仍未结束,外部国家继续利用两个战场进行博弈竞争;伊朗、叙利亚和以色列国内进行了选举,阿联酋、巴林与以色列关系正常化。这一时间段内最引人关... 展开

文章摘要:2020年8月至2021年8月,中东地区热点问题主要包括:拜登政府上台后,美伊关系较特朗普执政时期有一定缓和,不过由于双方在关键利益方面难以妥协,恢复伊核协议存在不确定性;美国甩包袱似地结束反恐战争,造成阿富汗国内及周边地区安全形势骤然紧张;巴以问题再度激化,斋月期间加沙地带爆发大规模冲突;叙利亚内战和也门战争仍未结束,外部国家继续利用两个战场进行博弈竞争;伊朗、叙利亚和以色列国内进行了选举,阿联酋、巴林与以色列关系正常化。这一时间段内最引人关注的是美国拜登政府对中东政策进行了重新部署,此举对中东地区的大国博弈、区域国家间关系变化和地区热点走势带来了较大影响。

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Abstract:Hotspot issues occurred in the Middle East from August 2020 to August 2021. The Biden administration has somewhat softened its attitude toward Iran compared with Trump. However,the resumption of the Iran nuclear deal is uncertain because the two sides are unable to compromise on key interests. The United States forced the end of the war on terrorism,which caused the security tension in and around Afghanistan to soar. The Palestinian... 展开

Abstract:Hotspot issues occurred in the Middle East from August 2020 to August 2021. The Biden administration has somewhat softened its attitude toward Iran compared with Trump. However,the resumption of the Iran nuclear deal is uncertain because the two sides are unable to compromise on key interests. The United States forced the end of the war on terrorism,which caused the security tension in and around Afghanistan to soar. The Palestinian-Israeli issue has once again intensified,and large-scale conflicts broke out in Gaza. Civil wars in Syria and Yemen are not over,and outside countries continue to use the two battlefields to compete. Meanwhile,Iran,Syria and Israel held elections,and the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain normalized relations with Israel. During this period,Biden’s redeployment of Middle East policy attracted the most attention,which had a great impact on the game between major powers in the Middle East,the changes in the relations between regional countries and the trend of regional hot spots.

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作者简介

张元:张元,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所助理研究员,主要研究方向为国际冲突、族群冲突、南亚地区安全、中东地区安全。