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“萨勒曼新政”与沙特内政外交走向

作者:马晓霖 出版日期:2021年10月 报告页数:27 页 报告大小: 报告字数:28857 字 所属丛书:浙江智库 所属图书:阿拉伯经济研究(第1辑) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:自2015年1月起沙特阿拉伯进入“萨勒曼新政”时期。在此期间,萨勒曼建立了父子联合的超级权力体系,同时开始进行大刀阔斧的内政外交政策调整,展示振兴国家的勃勃雄心。在“萨勒曼新政”框架下,沙特对内尝试进行全面的政治、经济、社会、文化、宗教和女权改革,旨在给传统而保守的王国带来全新变化,以便更好地适应国家现代化和可持续发展目标;对外强化现实主义指导下的攻势外交,全方位强势介入地区热点问题并调适、平衡与大国关系,展示确立地区大国地位并维护国家核... 展开

文章摘要:自2015年1月起沙特阿拉伯进入“萨勒曼新政”时期。在此期间,萨勒曼建立了父子联合的超级权力体系,同时开始进行大刀阔斧的内政外交政策调整,展示振兴国家的勃勃雄心。在“萨勒曼新政”框架下,沙特对内尝试进行全面的政治、经济、社会、文化、宗教和女权改革,旨在给传统而保守的王国带来全新变化,以便更好地适应国家现代化和可持续发展目标;对外强化现实主义指导下的攻势外交,全方位强势介入地区热点问题并调适、平衡与大国关系,展示确立地区大国地位并维护国家核心利益的鲜明意图。“萨勒曼新政”势大力沉且呈现强烈的张力和变革性,颇为引人注目;而且由于内外并举、多管齐下,体现了一定程度的探索性和实验性;还因多种现实因素的困扰,而充满不确定性和风险性。“萨勒曼新政”承接前国王政策框架,因此也体现出一定程度的连续性,代表了21世纪以来沙特王室的集体意志和共识。“萨勒曼新政”不是一场颠覆国家政权根本性的革命,而仅仅是确保绝对君主制和威权主义治下的全面改良,面临的问题和挑战诸多,前路艰难。

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Abstract:The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia had entered a new term which could be called “Salman’s New Deal” since January 2015. In these years,King Salman had built a super power system dominated by the father-and-son alliance,and decisively adjusted domestic and diplomatic strategies with his resolution to revive the kingdom. To unpack “Salman’s New Deal”,Saudi Arabia has been domestically experimenting with reforming politics,economy,so... 展开

Abstract:The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia had entered a new term which could be called “Salman’s New Deal” since January 2015. In these years,King Salman had built a super power system dominated by the father-and-son alliance,and decisively adjusted domestic and diplomatic strategies with his resolution to revive the kingdom. To unpack “Salman’s New Deal”,Saudi Arabia has been domestically experimenting with reforming politics,economy,society,culture,religion and feminism with the hope of modernizing and sustainable developing the traditionally conservative kingdom;in terms of diplomacy,Saudi Arabia has been upholding a hawkish stance while bearing realism in mind,intervening geopolitical hotspots on all fronts and balancing relationships with superpowers,overtly showing its agenda of strengthening the kingdom’s status as a regional superpower and defending its national interests. While “Salman’s New Deal” is appreciated for its momentum,possibilities and reformation,it’s also fraught with uncertainties and risks since new policies,domestic and diplomatic,are being instituted simultaneously,some of which are still in experimenting stage. “Salman’s New Deal” is also showing some continuity since it inherited some politic legacies of late King Abdullah,representing the collective will and consensus of the current royal family,to some degrees even revealing the future path the kingdom is going to embark on. Anyway,“Salman’s New Deal” is not a kind of deep reform that could change the political structure or power system,but a wide-scale improvement to ensure the currant absolute monarchy and super authoritarianism. “Salman’s New Deal” is facing some challenges and uncertainties.

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作者简介

马晓霖:马晓霖,浙江外国语学院教授、博联社总裁。