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战略收缩背景下特朗普政府在中东的进退得失

作者:张帆 出版日期:2019年09月 报告页数:15 页 报告大小: 报告字数:14564 字 所属丛书:美国蓝皮书 所属图书:美国研究报告(2019) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:特朗普政府继续维持美国在中东的战略收缩态势,此态势对美国中东政策的选择具有重要影响。就伊朗政策、军事打击“伊斯兰国”、盟国政策而言,特朗普政府采取了某些主动积极、大胆甚至冒险的政策举动;在“稳定和重建”问题上,特朗普政府则最终选择了退却。无论进退,美国在中东的战略收缩态势都是特朗普政府相关决策的重要背景或影响要素。特朗普政府中东政策的“进”对于恢复美国在中东的战略可信度发挥了重要作用,但有损于美国的道义可信度。特朗普政府在“稳定和重建... 展开

文章摘要:特朗普政府继续维持美国在中东的战略收缩态势,此态势对美国中东政策的选择具有重要影响。就伊朗政策、军事打击“伊斯兰国”、盟国政策而言,特朗普政府采取了某些主动积极、大胆甚至冒险的政策举动;在“稳定和重建”问题上,特朗普政府则最终选择了退却。无论进退,美国在中东的战略收缩态势都是特朗普政府相关决策的重要背景或影响要素。特朗普政府中东政策的“进”对于恢复美国在中东的战略可信度发挥了重要作用,但有损于美国的道义可信度。特朗普政府在“稳定和重建”问题上的“退”,旨在避免使美国卷入叙利亚错综复杂的内部冲突,但由于特朗普政府在该问题上的立场前后不一致,最后的退却决定有损美国的决策可信度。考察战略收缩背景下特朗普政府中东政策的进退得失,有助于进一步理解美国中东政策的现状及走向。

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Abstract:The Trump Administration has maintained the U.S.retrenchment posture in the Middle East,which has exerted influences on U.S.Middle East policy options. In terms of Iranian policy,military actions against ISIS,and policies towards regional allies,the Trump administration has adopted some positive,aggressive,and even risky actions;however,as regards to the so-called “stabilization and reconstruction”,the Trump administration ... 展开

Abstract:The Trump Administration has maintained the U.S.retrenchment posture in the Middle East,which has exerted influences on U.S.Middle East policy options. In terms of Iranian policy,military actions against ISIS,and policies towards regional allies,the Trump administration has adopted some positive,aggressive,and even risky actions;however,as regards to the so-called “stabilization and reconstruction”,the Trump administration has at last chosen to retreat. Regardless of the advance or retreat,the strategic retrenchment of the United States in the Middle East is an important background or influencing factor for relevant decisions of the trump administration. The aggressive actions in the Trump administration’s Middle East policies have contributed a lot to rebuild the U.S.strategic credibility in the region,but these actions have also undermined U.S.moral credibility. The Trump administration’s retreating from the “stabilization and reconstruction” in Syria aims to free the U.S.troops from being involved in the complex internal conflicts in Syria,but due to the inconsistent positions showed by the Trump administration,the final retreating decision has done a lot harm to the U.S.decision-making credibility. It is helpful to further understand the current situation and trend of American Middle East policy by examining the advance and retreat of trump administration’s Middle East policy under the background of strategic retrenchment.

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作者简介

张帆:张帆,中国社会科学院美国研究所研究员,主要研究领域为美国中东战略和反恐战略。