日本对朝政策调整及前景展望

Abstract:In 2018，Japan’s policy toward DPRK，with the US-DPRK summit as a time point，can be divided into two phases：in the first phase，the most prominent feature of Japan’s policy toward DPRK is to emphasize “extreme pressure”；The second phase is more reflected in the “hedging” strategy under the new situation. It is not to abandon the “extreme pressure”，but to seek a relative balance，so that the “extreme pressure” and “seeking dialogue” are the opposite of each other. The new Korean Peninsula order from the “crisis” to the “dialogue” provided an opportunity for Japan to adjust its policy toward DPRK；Japan responds to external changes and tries to win strategic initiatives by adjusting its policy toward DPRK. Despite the signs of adjustments to DPRK policy，Japan’s core concept of DPRK has not yet undergone fundamental changes. This is one of the biggest uncertainties that constrain the future relationship between Japan and DPRK. To search from its roots，policy adjustments to DPRK are the result of Japan’s self-reliance strategy. Looking forward to the future，the Korean nuclear issue and the security situation on the peninsula seem to have various prospects. Japan’s strategic concept and cognition and policy toward DPRK are also facing the challenge of searching for new positions.

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