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中东地区海上丝绸之路构建的机遇与挑战——基于非传统安全的分析

作者:李子昕 出版日期:2019年04月 报告页数:16 页 报告大小: 报告字数:15108 字 所属丛书:海丝蓝皮书 所属图书:21世纪海上丝绸之路研究报告(2018~2019) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:作为“丝绸之路经济带”和“21世纪海上丝绸之路”的重要交汇点,中东地区是我国推动“一带一路”建设的关键节点。中东资源蕴藏丰富、市场广阔、经济社会发展潜力巨大,但受到地缘政治、教派冲突、极端主义、恐怖袭击等因素的袭扰,本地区政治版图碎片化严重,政治局势持续震荡,非传统安全风险有上升的趋势。特别是近一年来,域外大国在中东的争夺愈发激烈,叙利亚局势由内战转入战后利益分配期,特朗普政府退出伊核协议、迁馆耶路撒冷等冒进政策都给地区带来新的不稳定因... 展开

文章摘要:作为“丝绸之路经济带”和“21世纪海上丝绸之路”的重要交汇点,中东地区是我国推动“一带一路”建设的关键节点。中东资源蕴藏丰富、市场广阔、经济社会发展潜力巨大,但受到地缘政治、教派冲突、极端主义、恐怖袭击等因素的袭扰,本地区政治版图碎片化严重,政治局势持续震荡,非传统安全风险有上升的趋势。特别是近一年来,域外大国在中东的争夺愈发激烈,叙利亚局势由内战转入战后利益分配期,特朗普政府退出伊核协议、迁馆耶路撒冷等冒进政策都给地区带来新的不稳定因素。尽管地区局势纷繁复杂、暗流涌动,中国在过去一年与中东地区合力推动海上丝绸之路建设的努力一直没有停歇。高层交往加频加密,顶层设计举旗定向,合作平台不断拓宽,机制保障落实到位,中国的“一带一路”倡议与地区国家各自的发展规划逐步完成对接。总体而言,中东地区海上丝绸之路构建的机遇与挑战并存,非传统安全风险较其他地区仍处于较高水平。目前相关合作已就应对非传统安全风险预设一定的防范机制,但具体细则和危机处置能力仍有待进一步加强。

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Abstract:As the geographical intersection of the “Silk Road Economic Belt” and the “21st Century Maritime Silk Road”,the Middle East is an essential region for promoting the Belt and Road Initiative. The Middle East enjoys rich resources,vast markets,and great potential of economic and social development. But at the same time,due to the geopolitical wrestling,sectarian conflicts,extremism and terrorism,the regional political map are... 展开

Abstract:As the geographical intersection of the “Silk Road Economic Belt” and the “21st Century Maritime Silk Road”,the Middle East is an essential region for promoting the Belt and Road Initiative. The Middle East enjoys rich resources,vast markets,and great potential of economic and social development. But at the same time,due to the geopolitical wrestling,sectarian conflicts,extremism and terrorism,the regional political map are fragmented and the political situation has been fluctuating,while non-traditional security risks keep rising. Especially since the last year,the regional geopolitical competition among the extraterritorial powers has been dramatically upgraded. The situation in Syria is shifting to the post-war political transition,while the Trump administration’s aggressive policy on JCPOA and Embassy moving brought new risks to the region. Despite the complicated regional situation,the effort of China and regional countries on promoting the construction of the Maritime Silk Road has never been stopped. Frequent high-level visits and designs go along with the implementation of the specific mechanism,China’s Belt and Road Initiative has gradually connecting with the development plans of regional countries. In general,the opportunities and challenges for the construction of the Maritime Silk Road in the Middle East coexist,and the non-traditional security risks are still at a relatively high level compared with other regions. At present,some prevention mechanisms have been presented in most projects against the non-traditional security risks,while the crisis coping ability of relevant parties still needs to be further strengthened.

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作者简介

李子昕:李子昕,中国国际问题研究院美国研究所助理研究员,主要研究方向为中美关系、美国中东政策、“一带一路”倡议、中东国际安全、国际反恐合作。