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2017年也门局势发展报告

作者:张金平 任华 出版日期:2018年12月 报告页数:24 页 报告大小: 报告字数:26693 字 所属图书:中东形势与战略(2018) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2017年,也门总体形势不断恶化。政治上,也门三个主要政治力量重新分化组合,萨利赫与胡塞武装的同盟破裂、南部分离主义势力与哈迪政府的联盟分裂和极端组织在东部继续招兵买马导致也门局势持续动荡并长期化;经济上,原本就十分落后的也门经济雪上加霜,陷入实际上崩溃的状态;在社会层面,由于战乱和政局动荡,造成也门人道危机日益严重,瘟疫流行、缺水短粮、基础设施遭受战争的破坏等因素导致也门社会发展步履维艰;在对外关系上,也门成为大国的博弈场,也门各派势力... 展开

文章摘要:2017年,也门总体形势不断恶化。政治上,也门三个主要政治力量重新分化组合,萨利赫与胡塞武装的同盟破裂、南部分离主义势力与哈迪政府的联盟分裂和极端组织在东部继续招兵买马导致也门局势持续动荡并长期化;经济上,原本就十分落后的也门经济雪上加霜,陷入实际上崩溃的状态;在社会层面,由于战乱和政局动荡,造成也门人道危机日益严重,瘟疫流行、缺水短粮、基础设施遭受战争的破坏等因素导致也门社会发展步履维艰;在对外关系上,也门成为大国的博弈场,也门各派势力成为沙特、伊朗、美国等国的代理人,而极端组织也在各派力量的博弈中,在也门东部地区继续稳固势力,很可能成为后“伊斯兰国”时代恐怖主义新的策源地。由于2017年的严峻形势及一系列复杂变数,2018年的也门面临重重挑战。

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Abstract:The overall situation of Yemen has been increasingly worsened in 2017.Politically,the three major political powers were redistributed.The alliance between Houthi Militias and Ali Abdullah Saleh,as well as the alliance between Southern separatists and Hady government were all broken,respectively.Meanwhile,extremist militias expanded their military capability in the east areas caused more hostilities across the country in the long r... 展开

Abstract:The overall situation of Yemen has been increasingly worsened in 2017.Politically,the three major political powers were redistributed.The alliance between Houthi Militias and Ali Abdullah Saleh,as well as the alliance between Southern separatists and Hady government were all broken,respectively.Meanwhile,extremist militias expanded their military capability in the east areas caused more hostilities across the country in the long run.Economically,the poor state has been facing dramatic down fall and the about to collapse.Socially,humanitarian crisis has been worsened since the war,plague followed by shortage of water and destruction of public facilities making the country in chaos.The foreign affairs of Yemen became an arena of global powers,proxies of Saudi,Iran and the US fought against each other,and those extremist militias benefited from the conflict,making Yemen a new center of terrorism in Post-ISIS era.In general,the hostile and complex situation post great challenges to Yemen toward 2018.

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作者简介

张金平:张金平,西北政法大学教授

任华:任华,上海外国语大学中东研究所博士研究生。