Abstract:To analyze the development trends of the growth of GDP,ultra-low fertility,ageing,chronic diseases morbidity,diseases death tree and structure on cause of death in China,this research will provide empirical evidences on the reformation of policy to government.Based on the time series analytical perspective,making use of historical longitudinal descriptive analysis as methodology,this research conducted the systematical analysis on the development trend of growth rate of GDP,Total Fertility Rate (TFR),proportion of 65+,morbidity,death rate of diseases,structure on cause of death in China.Results revealed that since 2010,China’s economy development went downstairs in the track,whereas,GDP kept the sustainable increase by a medium-to-high speed of 7%.Since 2000,China came to ultra-low fertility country rank around the world,meanwhile,which also stepped into ageing development country rank with rapidest speed around the world.In China,residents in urban were the major population who suffered from chronic diseases.Breathe system disease,brain vessel disease and coronary heart disease became to exposed type with the higher frequency occurrence in chronic diseases.Whereas,malignant tumor,brain vessel disease and coronary heart disease were composed of 65%cause of death in chronic diseases above,which jeopardized on the health and longevity of residents in city and rural of China severely.Moreover,five critical chronic diseases were composed of 85%cause of death in chronic diseases,so the key point of significant transition in death tree of residents who suffered from chronic diseases in China was 2010.Therefore,China’s economy began to enter the “New Normal State”,meanwhile,China’s society has to face the huge challenges which are aging of population age structure,higher frequency occurrence of morbidity and higher risk of lethality in chronic diseases.Therefore,it is urgent to implement the comprehensive control on chronic diseases in China.
收起