市场融合、汇率联动及人民币的国际化
文章摘要:本文基于文献,采用DCC-MVGARCH模型,通过检验人民币在岸市场和香港离岸市场、纽约市场的汇率联动关系,检验人民币在岸市场与离岸市场的融合程度,揭示人民币的国际化及其变化趋势。实证结果表明,人民币离岸市场与在岸市场价格存在较强的正相关关系,离岸市场与在岸市场融合程度较高,人民币国际化程度有较大提高;同时,研究发现香港无本金交割远期市场与在岸即期市场、香港离岸即期市场之间的相关程度,相较于纽约无本金交割远期市场与在岸即期市场、香港离岸即期市场... 展开
Abstract:based on the literature review,this paper use DCC-MVGARCH model to find the dynamic correlation between Hong Kong non-deliverable forward rates,onshore spot rates and Hong Kong offshore spot rates,and the dynamic correlation between New York non-deliverable forward rates,onshore spot rates and Hong Kong offshore spot rates. We find RMB onshore market and both of offshore markets have significant relationships,which show the inter... 展开