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走向拐点的欧洲安全新形势及其应对

作者:陈旸 出版日期:2016年07月 报告页数:16 页 报告大小: 报告字数:20336 字 所属丛书:国际安全蓝皮书 所属图书:中国国际安全研究报告(2016) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:近来欧洲安全形势恶化,危机迭发,乌克兰问题悬而未决,恐怖袭击四处发难,难民危机持续发酵,安全挑战日趋复杂多元。欧洲的安全秩序走向“拐点”,北约与俄罗斯在欧洲东部紧张对峙;安全机制承压,反恐有心无力,边境管理漏洞百出;安全观频遭诘难,宏观战略难以适应新形势,推行自由民主遭遇反噬,欧洲安全的不确定性迅速上升。欧盟及其成员国积极应对,强化集体防御,巩固东部边境安全;协调安全机制,共同维护内部安全;推动战略调整,重铸欧洲安全信心。通过加强能力... 展开

文章摘要:近来欧洲安全形势恶化,危机迭发,乌克兰问题悬而未决,恐怖袭击四处发难,难民危机持续发酵,安全挑战日趋复杂多元。欧洲的安全秩序走向“拐点”,北约与俄罗斯在欧洲东部紧张对峙;安全机制承压,反恐有心无力,边境管理漏洞百出;安全观频遭诘难,宏观战略难以适应新形势,推行自由民主遭遇反噬,欧洲安全的不确定性迅速上升。欧盟及其成员国积极应对,强化集体防御,巩固东部边境安全;协调安全机制,共同维护内部安全;推动战略调整,重铸欧洲安全信心。通过加强能力建设,加大合作力度,加速战略调整,欧洲欲彻底重塑安全环境。但是,欧洲不具备超然的地缘环境,周边局势陷入新一轮动荡期,势必波及欧洲,且欧洲自身的安全“赤字”短期内难以消除,在危机面前其精神和制度上的缺陷进一步暴露,欧洲安全环境恶化恐成长期趋势。

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Abstract:The security situation in Europe is deteriorating,with crises arising frequently. While several unsolved problems continue to present great threats,such as the Ukraine Crisis,terrorist attacks and the refugee crisis,Europe is faced with increasingly complex and diverse security challenges. The security order in Europe is coming to a “turning point”:bitter confrontation between NATO and Russia arises in Eastern Europe;security ... 展开

Abstract:The security situation in Europe is deteriorating,with crises arising frequently. While several unsolved problems continue to present great threats,such as the Ukraine Crisis,terrorist attacks and the refugee crisis,Europe is faced with increasingly complex and diverse security challenges. The security order in Europe is coming to a “turning point”:bitter confrontation between NATO and Russia arises in Eastern Europe;security mechanism is under high pressure;counter-terrorism measures seem weak and there are so many loopholes in border management. Moreover,security theories are frequently challenged while macro strategies cannot be easily adapted to the new situation. As the development of freedom and democracy backfires,the insecurity in Europe grows rapidly. The EU and its member states have taken positive actions,which include strengthening collective defense in order to consolidate the eastern border,coordinating the security mechanisms to safeguard internal security and promoting strategic adjustment to rebuild confidence in Europe. By building capacity,encouraging cooperation and carrying out strategic adjustment,the EU intends to completely reshape the security landscape. However,Europe does not have an isolated geopolitical environment. As neighboring countries fall into a new round of turmoil,Europe is bound to be affected. In addition,Europe’s own security “deficit” could not be eliminated in a short term,which would further expose its security deficiencies at both theoretical and institutional levels. Therefore,the security environment in Europe might still be worsening in the future.

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作者简介

陈旸:陈旸,博士,中国现代国际关系研究院欧洲研究所助理研究员,研究方向为欧洲安全与防务,