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美国再平衡战略的实施及新挑战

作者:周琪 出版日期:2015年06月 报告页数:40 页 报告大小: 报告字数:45744 字 所属丛书:美国蓝皮书 所属图书:美国研究报告(2015) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:奥巴马政府的亚太政策与冷战后历届美国政府相比发生了重大变化。各种原因促使奥巴马政府做出把美国战略重心从中东转到亚太地区的战略“再平衡”决定。奥巴马政府认真地实施了这一战略:美国加强了同传统盟国的关系,积极发展同亚太新兴国家的伙伴关系,增加了在多边机制框架下对东盟的参与。“再平衡”战略的主要特点是:军事方面的“再平衡”比其他方面进展更快,计划更周密;TPP成为奥巴马政府“再平衡”战略在经济方面的重要支柱;在亚太地区内也进行了战略重点的“再... 展开

文章摘要:奥巴马政府的亚太政策与冷战后历届美国政府相比发生了重大变化。各种原因促使奥巴马政府做出把美国战略重心从中东转到亚太地区的战略“再平衡”决定。奥巴马政府认真地实施了这一战略:美国加强了同传统盟国的关系,积极发展同亚太新兴国家的伙伴关系,增加了在多边机制框架下对东盟的参与。“再平衡”战略的主要特点是:军事方面的“再平衡”比其他方面进展更快,计划更周密;TPP成为奥巴马政府“再平衡”战略在经济方面的重要支柱;在亚太地区内也进行了战略重点的“再平衡”,即从过去更重视东北亚转变为加大对东南亚的重视。然而,虽然迄今美国政府对“再平衡”战略的实施给予了充分肯定,并试图继续推进这一战略,但是它并非没有遇到挑战。“再平衡”战略招致中国对美国意图的猜疑,给美国所期望的在全球重大问题上同中国的合作造成障碍;非军事方面进展缓慢导致“再平衡”战略被视为主要是一个安全战略;国防预算的大幅度削减引起美国军事力量被缩减;中东乱局和乌克兰危机牵制了美国的全球关注力,也使奥巴马政府被批评为在履行承诺方面表现软弱。如果美国不能有效地应对这些新挑战,其“再平衡”战略的实施就必然大打折扣。

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Abstract:Compared to other administrations after the Cold War,the Obama administration made significant changes to its Asia-Pacific policy. Multiple factors urged Obama administration to “rebalance” U.S. government attention and resources toward the Asia-Pacific region. The Obama administration has actively implemented the following strategies:strengthen and refurbish traditional alliances;actively forge new partnerships with emerging pow... 展开

Abstract:Compared to other administrations after the Cold War,the Obama administration made significant changes to its Asia-Pacific policy. Multiple factors urged Obama administration to “rebalance” U.S. government attention and resources toward the Asia-Pacific region. The Obama administration has actively implemented the following strategies:strengthen and refurbish traditional alliances;actively forge new partnerships with emerging powers from Asian-Pacific region;and increase its interaction with the ASEAN under the multilateral framework. The “Rebalance” strategy has three main features. First,the “Rebalance” of military affairs will make progress much faster than other aspects of the policy;its planning is much more thorough. Second,the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) will become a major pillar in President Obama’s rebalance in terms of economic statecraft. Third,the “Rebalance” will also be carried out within the Asia-Pacific region. In other words,priority is shifted from Northeast Asia to Southeast Asia. Although the U.S. government is positive about the “Rebalance” strategy and makes great efforts to implement it,many challenges remain. First,the “Rebalance” policy arouses suspicion from China. This creates obstacles to cooperation with China regarding important global issues. Second,slow progress in non-military fields causes observers to view the “Rebalance” as a policy limited to national defense. Third,a deep cut in the defense budget leads to a reduction of its military forces. Finally,turmoil in the Middle East and the Ukraine crisis distracts the U.S. from matters in the Asia-Pacific region. The Obama administration then becomes subject to criticism due to its weakness in fulfilling its commitment. If the U.S. cannot effectively address these new challenges,the implementation of the rebalancing policy will be seriously affected.

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作者简介

周琪:周琪,中国社会科学院美国研究所研究员,曾任美国政治研究室主任,现任清华大学国家战略研究院执行院长,主要研究领域为美国政治、外交与国际关系。