东巴尔干三国发展报告（2010）

Abstract:Political uncertainties will continue in Romania and Moldova during 2010. The Romanian government comprising the Democratic Liberal Party （DLP） and the Hungarian Union of Democrats in Romania （HUDR） is facing pressures both from a second non-confidence vote in the parliament and from the rising public discontents. In Moldova a referendum failed in September 2010，and a fierce contest between the major political parties is unfolding for the forthcoming parliamentary election due to be held in November. In addition，the sluggish economy and a fragile government caused social unrests in Moldova in 2010. The political situations of Bulgaria will remain essentially unchanged，but the ruling party is facing double pressures of reduced budget and high unemployment rate. In addition to the assistance provided by the EU and IMF to Romania and Moldova，the latter has also accepted assistance from the USA. All the three countries have been adjusting their policies to cope with the crisis，who，on the other hand，have been trapped in a dilemma between an expansive policy to stimulate the economy and one depending on budget cutting. Affected by the crisis，Bulgaria had to delay joining ERM II. At last，all the three countries maintain a good relationship with China.

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