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全球重大武装冲突与军事形势评估:2011~2012

作者:徐进 出版日期:2012年12月 报告页数:27 页 报告大小: 报告字数:25836 字 所属丛书:国际形势黄皮书 所属图书:全球政治与安全报告(2013) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:在2011~2012年度,全球重大武装冲突的数量与上一年度相比有所增加,冲突仍然集中在中东、南亚和非洲东北部。令人瞩目的战争和武装冲突包括阿富汗战争、叙利亚内战以及也门、印度、巴基斯坦、索马里等国的国内冲突。在世界军事形势方面,美国的年度军费开支继续位居世界第一,并于2012年初发布了新版国防战略指南。美军战略重心将转向东亚,重点应对反进入/区域拒止作战,以“一战一威慑”原则代替“打赢两场战争”原则。

Abstract:There were relatively more major armed conflicts in the world from 2011 to 2012 than there were the previous year,with the majority of conflicts taking place in the Middle East,South Asia,and Northeast Africa.The Afghanistan war,and the civil wars or armed conflicts in Syria,Yemen,India,Pakistan,and Somalia have attracted global attention.The United States remains no.1 in the world in terms of annual military expenditures.Both the Uni... 展开

Abstract:There were relatively more major armed conflicts in the world from 2011 to 2012 than there were the previous year,with the majority of conflicts taking place in the Middle East,South Asia,and Northeast Africa.The Afghanistan war,and the civil wars or armed conflicts in Syria,Yemen,India,Pakistan,and Somalia have attracted global attention.The United States remains no.1 in the world in terms of annual military expenditures.Both the United States and China's neighbors are concerned about the PLA military build-up.According to the Defense Strategic Guidance of the United States 2012, U.S.armed forces will pivot toward East Asia and set the anti-access/regional denial operation as a priority,and the United States will abandon its long-held doctrine of being able to fight and win two wars simultaneously.Instead,it will aim to fight and win one major war while being able to meet and contain any aggressive designs by a second adversary.

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作者简介

徐进:中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所研究员,主要研究领域为国际关系理论和国际安全问题。