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金融危机下的非洲宏观经济走势

作者:朴英姬 出版日期:2010年04月 报告页数:14 页 报告大小: 报告字数:13559 字 所属丛书:中东非洲黄皮书 所属图书:中东非洲发展报告No.12(2009~2010) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:发端于美国的次贷危机在经济全球化背景下,迅速蔓延成世界性的金融危机,从欧美发达国家到发展中国家均未能幸免。非洲国家尽管与国际金融市场的联系不够紧密,但随着资源类产品价格的巨幅下挫和主要发达国家实体经济的日趋衰退,与之在贸易、投资、援助等方面关系紧密的非洲国家也受到巨大冲击。2009年非洲经济的下行风险加大,预计GDP增长率将下降到2%,出口和外资流入均将减少,财政赤字和经常项目逆差也将加剧,失业率随之攀升,贫困状况更加严重。预计2010年随着世界... 展开

文章摘要:发端于美国的次贷危机在经济全球化背景下,迅速蔓延成世界性的金融危机,从欧美发达国家到发展中国家均未能幸免。非洲国家尽管与国际金融市场的联系不够紧密,但随着资源类产品价格的巨幅下挫和主要发达国家实体经济的日趋衰退,与之在贸易、投资、援助等方面关系紧密的非洲国家也受到巨大冲击。2009年非洲经济的下行风险加大,预计GDP增长率将下降到2%,出口和外资流入均将减少,财政赤字和经常项目逆差也将加剧,失业率随之攀升,贫困状况更加严重。预计2010年随着世界经济的逐步复苏,非洲经济增长将有所加快。

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Abstract:Globalized world economy means globalized risks. The Subprime Mortgage Crisis,first appeared in USA,was fast to evolve into a full-scale financial crisis all around the world. It ravaged developed and developing countries alike. The world financial market is not much of a concern for most African countries,but lower price of raw materials and battered real economy in developed countries spell bad omen for them. Trading,investment ... 展开

Abstract:Globalized world economy means globalized risks. The Subprime Mortgage Crisis,first appeared in USA,was fast to evolve into a full-scale financial crisis all around the world. It ravaged developed and developing countries alike. The world financial market is not much of a concern for most African countries,but lower price of raw materials and battered real economy in developed countries spell bad omen for them. Trading,investment and financial support from outer world deteriorated. In 2009,African economies overall are going to have a slack GDP growth of 2%,a reduction in export and in-coming investment,worse fiscal conditions,higher unemployment,and more grievous poverty. This might be expected to improve with the forecasted world economy recovery in 2010.

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作者简介

朴英姬:经济学博士,中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所副研究员,研究方向为非洲经济发展和区域经济一体化。