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中日股票市场联动性研究

作者:付丽颖 王冰 出版日期:2023年09月 报告页数:17 页 报告大小: 报告字数:13442 字 所属图书:日本研究论丛(第5辑) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:随着中日经济、金融联系增强,中日两国股票市场联动性成为值得关注的重要问题。本文在梳理中日股票市场联动性研究成果的基础上,分析中日股票市场产生联动的作用机制,利用2001~2020年代表性股票指数日度数据,运用DCC-GARCH模型和多元线性回归模型探讨中日股票市场联动性的变动趋势、关联程度及作用机制。实证研究结果显示,在样本期内,中日股票市场联动性呈现波动上升的态势,且具有时变的特征。联动性的产生及其时变特征可归因于中日经济趋同化、一体化以及不断完善... 展开

文章摘要:随着中日经济、金融联系增强,中日两国股票市场联动性成为值得关注的重要问题。本文在梳理中日股票市场联动性研究成果的基础上,分析中日股票市场产生联动的作用机制,利用2001~2020年代表性股票指数日度数据,运用DCC-GARCH模型和多元线性回归模型探讨中日股票市场联动性的变动趋势、关联程度及作用机制。实证研究结果显示,在样本期内,中日股票市场联动性呈现波动上升的态势,且具有时变的特征。联动性的产生及其时变特征可归因于中日经济趋同化、一体化以及不断完善的国内金融市场。因此,本文提出加强理性投资者队伍建设、强化监管、增强股票市场抵御风险能力、深化金融领域改革等建议。

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Abstract:With the strengthening of relationship between China and Japan in the economic and financial fields,the linkage between China and Japan stock markets has become mora and more important. Based on the daily data of representative stock indexes from 2001 to 2020,this paper uses DCC-GARCH model and multiple linear regression model to explore the trend,degree and mechanism between China and Japan stock markets. The empirical results sho... 展开

Abstract:With the strengthening of relationship between China and Japan in the economic and financial fields,the linkage between China and Japan stock markets has become mora and more important. Based on the daily data of representative stock indexes from 2001 to 2020,this paper uses DCC-GARCH model and multiple linear regression model to explore the trend,degree and mechanism between China and Japan stock markets. The empirical results show that during the sample period,the linkage between China and Japan stock markets is fluctuating upward and has the characteristics of time-varying. The reason lies in the economic assimilation of China and Japan and the continuous improvement of the domestic financial market. Therefore,this paper puts forward some suggestions,such as strengthening the construction of rational investors,strengthening supervision to enhance the ability of stock market to resist risks,and deepening the reform in the financial sector.

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作者简介

付丽颖:付丽颖,东北师范大学日本研究所副教授,吉林省伪满历史文化研究基地副教授,主要研究方向为国际金融、近代中日经济史。

王冰:王冰,工作单位为中国人民银行淮安市中心支行,主要研究方向为涉外金融、日本经济。