日本实现碳中和目标的路径与展望

Abstract:This paper analyzes the process of the carbon neutrality and its results based on the energy demand model （AIM/Enduse），and proposes inspirations and suggestions for China based on Japan’s experience. After achieving the emission peak in 2013，Japan continued to take strict control measures to ensure a steady decline in carbon emissions year by year，and in 2020，Japan officially announced its goal of achieving carbon neutrality by 2050. Since then，policies such as the “Decarbonization Advance Zone” and “Zero Carbon Action 30” have been introduced to advocate the reduction of carbon emissions on the demand side，and at the same time，the “2050 Carbon Neutral Green Growth Strategy” further specifies the supply-side reform program focusing on the development of clean energy such as offshore wind power，hydrogen and ammonia fuel. Based on Japan’s supply and demand-side measures and model results，this paper makes a preliminary judgment that Japan can achieve the carbon neutrality target on schedule in the absence of irresistible external shocks. Drawing upon an analysis of Japan’s strategies and approaches in achieving the emission peak and carbon neutrality objective，this report posits that China ought to draw upon the experiences of Japan and bolster the regulatory framework to attain the emission peak and carbon neutrality targets，augment energy efficiency，establish a low-carbon society，and foster emerging industries of new energies，such as hydrogen energy. Furthermore，China must reinforce its cooperation with Japan in the emission peak and carbon neutrality domain，envision future possibilities，stay grounded in the present reality，advance incrementally，and achieve the emission peak and carbon neutrality goal in a timely and effective manner.

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