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2020年波兰总统选举:原因与影响

作者:陈思杨 出版日期:2022年12月 报告页数:13 页 报告大小: 报告字数:12667 字 所属丛书:欧洲蓝皮书 所属图书:欧洲发展报告(2020~2021) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2020年6月28日,波兰举行总统选举。最终,已执政5年的安杰伊·杜达以51.03%的得票率击败恰斯科夫斯基(48.97%),凭借微弱的优势获得连任。2020年的总统选举与新冠肺炎疫情的暴发相交叠,注定这是一次非同寻常的选举。这次选举因选举日期和选举形式的更改引发了社会争论,但投票率极高。杜达的连任主要得益于其在抗击新冠肺炎疫情中的可靠表现、稳定而保守的社会政策、法律与公正党对媒体的掌控、总统基本兑现了之前的选举承诺等。本次连任会使波兰的政策延续性和稳定性得... 展开

文章摘要:2020年6月28日,波兰举行总统选举。最终,已执政5年的安杰伊·杜达以51.03%的得票率击败恰斯科夫斯基(48.97%),凭借微弱的优势获得连任。2020年的总统选举与新冠肺炎疫情的暴发相交叠,注定这是一次非同寻常的选举。这次选举因选举日期和选举形式的更改引发了社会争论,但投票率极高。杜达的连任主要得益于其在抗击新冠肺炎疫情中的可靠表现、稳定而保守的社会政策、法律与公正党对媒体的掌控、总统基本兑现了之前的选举承诺等。本次连任会使波兰的政策延续性和稳定性得到保障,并继续维持“亲美疑欧反俄”的外交立场,但是有可能使社会撕裂现象更为严重。

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Abstract:The 2020 Polish presidential election was held on 28 June. The incumbent president Andrzej Duda (51.03%) beat challenger Rafal Trzaskowski (48.97%) by slight advantage. Under the background of COVID-19,the presidential election was deemed special:a social debate was triggered due to changes of the election date and format,and the turnout rate was extremely high. Duda’s re-election is attributed to his reliable performance in t... 展开

Abstract:The 2020 Polish presidential election was held on 28 June. The incumbent president Andrzej Duda (51.03%) beat challenger Rafal Trzaskowski (48.97%) by slight advantage. Under the background of COVID-19,the presidential election was deemed special:a social debate was triggered due to changes of the election date and format,and the turnout rate was extremely high. Duda’s re-election is attributed to his reliable performance in the fight against COVID-19,stable and conservative social policy,the control of media by the Law and Justice Party,and the fulfilment of his previous election promises. His re-election will ensure the policy continuity and stability,maintain the diplomatic stance which is pro-US,suspicious of Europe and anti-Russia. However,the Polish society might be increasingly torn apart.

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作者简介

陈思杨:陈思杨,中国社会科学院欧洲研究所助理研究员、中国社会科学院大学博士研究生,研究领域为波兰社会文化和中东欧问题。