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中国新能源汽车产业链安全评价

作者:李彬 孙飞红 高帅 臧铖 出版日期:2022年11月 报告页数:57 页 报告大小: 报告字数:35646 字 所属丛书:工业和信息化蓝皮书 所属图书:新兴产业发展报告(2021~2022) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:汽车工业具有产业链长、涉及面广、国际化程度高的特点,是我国经济发展的重要支柱产业。然而由于工业起步较晚,我国传统汽车产业整体偏弱,长期处于产业价值链的低端,关键核心技术如发动机等高度依赖于美、日、德等国家,传统汽车产业链安全面临极大的威胁。新能源汽车的出现为我国实现“换道超车”提供了契机。在石油等传统能源日益紧缺、环境问题日益严重的形势下,传统燃油汽车正逐步退出历史舞台;同时伴随着全球“双碳”目标的快速推进,新能源汽车产业迎来前所未有... 展开

文章摘要:汽车工业具有产业链长、涉及面广、国际化程度高的特点,是我国经济发展的重要支柱产业。然而由于工业起步较晚,我国传统汽车产业整体偏弱,长期处于产业价值链的低端,关键核心技术如发动机等高度依赖于美、日、德等国家,传统汽车产业链安全面临极大的威胁。新能源汽车的出现为我国实现“换道超车”提供了契机。在石油等传统能源日益紧缺、环境问题日益严重的形势下,传统燃油汽车正逐步退出历史舞台;同时伴随着全球“双碳”目标的快速推进,新能源汽车产业迎来前所未有的发展机遇。经过多年的发展,我国新能源汽车产业已初步形成完整的产业链,为进一步促进我国新能源汽车产业的健康稳定发展,有必要适时对新能源汽车产业链安全进行全面评价。本文首先识别上游锂资源、动力电池、专用零部件,中游整车制造,下游充电桩等五个关键环节,其次从政策风险、产业竞争力、产业控制力、产业对外依存度、产业可持续发展力以及产业成长性等六大指标方面,系统评估我国新能源汽车产业链安全。认为除专用零部件环节处于中警警度外,锂资源、动力电池、整车制造以及充电桩环节均处于轻警警度,整体新能源汽车产业处于中警警度。

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Abstract:The automobile industry has the characteristics of long industrial chain,wide coverage and high degree of internationalization. It is an important pillar industry of my country’s economic development. However,due to the late start of the industry,my country’s traditional automobile industry is weak as a whole,and it has been at the low end of the automobile industry value chain for a long time. Key core technologies,such as eng... 展开

Abstract:The automobile industry has the characteristics of long industrial chain,wide coverage and high degree of internationalization. It is an important pillar industry of my country’s economic development. However,due to the late start of the industry,my country’s traditional automobile industry is weak as a whole,and it has been at the low end of the automobile industry value chain for a long time. Key core technologies,such as engines,are highly dependent on countries such as the United States,Japan,and Germany. The security of the traditional automobile industry chain is facing great threats. The emergence of new energy vehicles provides an opportunity for my country to achieve “change lanes and overtake”. Under the situation that traditional energy sources such as oil are increasingly in short supply and environmental problems are increasingly serious,traditional fuel vehicles are gradually withdrawing from the stage of history;at the same time,with the rapid advancement of the global “dual carbon” goal,the new energy vehicle industry has ushered in unprecedented development opportunities. After years of development,my country’s new energy vehicle industry has initially formed a complete industrial chain. In order to further promote the healthy and stable development of my country’s new energy vehicle industry,it is necessary to conduct a comprehensive evaluation of the safety of the new energy vehicle industry chain in a timely manner. This report firstly identifies five key links including upstream lithium resources,power batteries,special components,midstream vehicle manufacturing,and downstream charging piles,followed by policy risks,industrial competitiveness,industrial control,industrial external dependence,and industrial sustainability. The security of my country’s new energy vehicle industry chain is systematically assessed in terms of six major indicators,including development capability and industrial growth. The evaluation concluded that,except for special parts and components,the links of lithium resources,power batteries,vehicle manufacturing and charging piles are all in the light police level,and the overall new energy vehicle industry is in the medium police level.

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作者简介

李彬:李彬,博士,国家工业信息安全发展研究中心高级工程师,研究方向为工业发展、新兴产业、产业链安全。

孙飞红:孙飞红,博士,国家工业信息安全发展研究中心工程师,研究方向为创新、新兴产业、数字经济。

高帅:高帅,博士,国家工业信息安全发展研究中心工程师,研究方向为绿色经济、数字经济。

臧铖:臧铖,在读博士研究生,研究方向为产业经济。