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2021年日本财政:“扩张”政策与“破产”危机

作者:刘轩 出版日期:2022年10月 报告页数:12 页 报告大小: 报告字数:9722 字 所属丛书:日本经济蓝皮书 所属图书:日本经济与中日经贸关系研究报告(2022) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:泡沫经济崩溃后,为重振经济,日本政府不断推出财政扩张政策,加之财政收支严重失衡,赤字国债急剧增加,日本财政面临破产危机。面对新冠肺炎疫情,日本政府推出超强度财政金融刺激政策,两年四次大幅增加补充预算,日本银行大量收购日本国债,增加市场资本授信,在一定程度上缓解了企业经营危机和居民生活压力,却进一步增加了日本财政的破产风险。岸田文雄政府的“新资本主义”缺乏政策“新意”,行动空间有限,事实上,日本正在自觉不自觉地尝试“现代货币理论”逻辑下... 展开

文章摘要:泡沫经济崩溃后,为重振经济,日本政府不断推出财政扩张政策,加之财政收支严重失衡,赤字国债急剧增加,日本财政面临破产危机。面对新冠肺炎疫情,日本政府推出超强度财政金融刺激政策,两年四次大幅增加补充预算,日本银行大量收购日本国债,增加市场资本授信,在一定程度上缓解了企业经营危机和居民生活压力,却进一步增加了日本财政的破产风险。岸田文雄政府的“新资本主义”缺乏政策“新意”,行动空间有限,事实上,日本正在自觉不自觉地尝试“现代货币理论”逻辑下的政策冒险。

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Abstract:After the bubble economy collapse,the Japanese government has been implementing fiscal expansionary policies in order to revive the Japanese economy. Together with the serious imbalance of fiscal revenue and expenditure,these expansionary policies have led to a sharp increase of deficit and national debt,and Japanese public finance is on the verge of bankruptcy. Faced with COVID-19,Japanese government aggressively increased fiscal... 展开

Abstract:After the bubble economy collapse,the Japanese government has been implementing fiscal expansionary policies in order to revive the Japanese economy. Together with the serious imbalance of fiscal revenue and expenditure,these expansionary policies have led to a sharp increase of deficit and national debt,and Japanese public finance is on the verge of bankruptcy. Faced with COVID-19,Japanese government aggressively increased fiscal and financial stimulus and substantially increased the supplementary budget for four times during the past two years. The Bank of Japan purchased a large quantity of Japanese governmental bonds to boost market capital credit,which did relieve corporate operation crisis as well as residential living pressure to some extent. These measures,however,further aggravated fiscal bankruptcy risk in the meantime. The “neo-capitalism” policy brought forward by Kishida government lacks “originality” and thus is unlikely to make any breakthrough. In fact,Japan is experimenting with risky policies under the logic of “Modern Monetary Theory” unwittingly and unconsciously.

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作者简介

刘轩:刘轩,历史学博士,南开大学日本研究院教授,南开大学世界近代史研究中心研究员、全国日本经济学会理事,主要研究领域:日本经济政策、日本经济史。