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北非多国政治运动对推进“一带一路”建设的影响与应对措施(2020~2021)

作者:李子昕 出版日期:2022年09月 报告页数:20 页 报告大小: 报告字数:17851 字 所属丛书:海丝蓝皮书 所属图书:21世纪海上丝绸之路研究报告(2020~2021) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:近两年来,西亚北非多国爆发游行示威等政治运动,政权出现更替,显示自“阿拉伯之春”爆发以来,各国内部治理及相关政治经济改革未取得预期效果。2020年突发全球性公共卫生事件以及油价暴跌令各国承压激增,社会稳定性进一步受到削弱。与此同时,受地缘政治和大国博弈等多重因素影响,西亚北非地区各国面临调整对外政策的客观挑战。西亚北非是我国高质量建设“一带一路”的重要地区,其政治稳定性直接关乎中国与该地区国家务实合作的顺利推进。西亚北非政治环境的变化对中... 展开

文章摘要:近两年来,西亚北非多国爆发游行示威等政治运动,政权出现更替,显示自“阿拉伯之春”爆发以来,各国内部治理及相关政治经济改革未取得预期效果。2020年突发全球性公共卫生事件以及油价暴跌令各国承压激增,社会稳定性进一步受到削弱。与此同时,受地缘政治和大国博弈等多重因素影响,西亚北非地区各国面临调整对外政策的客观挑战。西亚北非是我国高质量建设“一带一路”的重要地区,其政治稳定性直接关乎中国与该地区国家务实合作的顺利推进。西亚北非政治环境的变化对中国与地区国家关系而言既是机遇也是挑战。我国需趋利避害,主动拓宽合作领域,为下一阶段推进“一带一路”建设提供更多选择。

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Abstract:In the past two years,demonstrations broke out and governments changed in many countries in West Asia and North Africa,which has shown that the development of governance capacity and related political and economic reforms have not achieved the expected results since the “Arab Spring”. The COVID-19 epidemic and the plunge of energy price have sharply increased the pressure undertaken by the regional countries,and the social stabil... 展开

Abstract:In the past two years,demonstrations broke out and governments changed in many countries in West Asia and North Africa,which has shown that the development of governance capacity and related political and economic reforms have not achieved the expected results since the “Arab Spring”. The COVID-19 epidemic and the plunge of energy price have sharply increased the pressure undertaken by the regional countries,and the social stability has been further weakened. At the same time,affected by multiple factors such as geopolitics and major powers’ games,regional countries are facing objective challenges in adjusting their foreign policies. West Asia and North Africa is one of the fulcrum regions for promoting Belt & Road Initiative,and the political stability is the basis of the smooth progress of pragmatic cooperation between China and regional countries. The changes of the political environment in West Asia and North Africa bring both opportunities and challenges to China’s relations with regional countries. China needs to draw on advantages and avoid disadvantages,actively broaden the areas of bilateral cooperation,which may provide more options for the BRI construction in the next stage.

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作者简介

李子昕:李子昕,中国国际问题研究院发展中国家研究所助理研究员。