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“一带一路”倡议与人民币国际化分析与预测

作者:杨文 杨婧 出版日期:2017年04月 报告页数:19 页 报告大小: 报告字数:12208 字 所属丛书:“一带一路”投资安全蓝皮书 所属图书:中国“一带一路”投资与安全研究报告(2016~2017) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:本文从“一带一路”倡议的视角探讨了人民币国际化的出路。通过分析“一带一路”沿线国家的经济现状和区域内人民币国际化现状发现,“一带一路”沿线区域经济发展滞后但发展潜力巨大,基础设施落后但通货膨胀水平相近;我国跨境贸易对“一带一路”沿线国家市场的依赖度高于沿线国家对我国市场的依赖度;区域内人民币互换规模及人民币境外储备规模均有待提升。因此,我国可以实施区域内贸易逆差策略以扩大人民币的投放量,鼓励在沿线国家基础设施建设中用人民币计价和结算,... 展开

文章摘要:本文从“一带一路”倡议的视角探讨了人民币国际化的出路。通过分析“一带一路”沿线国家的经济现状和区域内人民币国际化现状发现,“一带一路”沿线区域经济发展滞后但发展潜力巨大,基础设施落后但通货膨胀水平相近;我国跨境贸易对“一带一路”沿线国家市场的依赖度高于沿线国家对我国市场的依赖度;区域内人民币互换规模及人民币境外储备规模均有待提升。因此,我国可以实施区域内贸易逆差策略以扩大人民币的投放量,鼓励在沿线国家基础设施建设中用人民币计价和结算,大力发展“一带一路”沿线的人民币离岸市场等策略,加快推进人民币国际化进程。

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Abstract:This paper researches the channels of RMB internationalization based on the perspective of “The Belt and Road” Initiative. Through analyze economic situation and RMB internationalization status in “The Belt and Road” region,this paper finds out the economic of “The Belt and Road” region is growing rapidly although it lags behind yet,their level of inflation is similar although their infrastructure is inferior;cross-border tra... 展开

Abstract:This paper researches the channels of RMB internationalization based on the perspective of “The Belt and Road” Initiative. Through analyze economic situation and RMB internationalization status in “The Belt and Road” region,this paper finds out the economic of “The Belt and Road” region is growing rapidly although it lags behind yet,their level of inflation is similar although their infrastructure is inferior;cross-border trade in China is higher dependent on “The Belt and Road” market than “The Belt and Road” region dependent on China’s market;the scale of currency swap and foreign reserve of RMB should be improved. Therefore,China could implement trade deficit in region to increase the output of RMB overseas;encourage valuating and settlement by RMB in infrastructure construction,meanwhile extend the offshore RMB market in “The Belt and Road” region,impulsing the process of RMB internationalization.

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作者简介

杨文:杨文,深圳大学经济学院硕士生导师,经济学博士。

杨婧:杨婧,深圳大学经济学院硕士研究生。