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“一带一路”倡议、OFDI与营商环境——基于2013年“一带一路”倡议政策的拟自然实验

作者:徐正丽 吴俊 蔡翔 甘晓丽 出版日期:2020年08月 报告页数:28 页 报告大小: 报告字数:25545 字 所属丛书:“一带一路”投资安全蓝皮书 所属图书:中国“一带一路”投资安全研究报告(2020) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:中国企业对外直接投资(OFDI)不仅要考虑目标国的营商环境,还需考虑投资的经济效益,如何在保证企业参与对外直接投资过程中既实现投资项目安全又能融入全球价值链是推进“一带一路”建设的重要内容。本文将2013年“一带一路”倡议政策视为一项拟自然实验,利用双重差分法分析“一带一路”倡议政策对中国企业对外直接投资的促进效应及该效应在“一带一路”共建国家的差异,并用因子分析法得到的营商环境得分指标进一步分析“一带一路”共建国家营商环境对承接中国OFDI的影... 展开

文章摘要:中国企业对外直接投资(OFDI)不仅要考虑目标国的营商环境,还需考虑投资的经济效益,如何在保证企业参与对外直接投资过程中既实现投资项目安全又能融入全球价值链是推进“一带一路”建设的重要内容。本文将2013年“一带一路”倡议政策视为一项拟自然实验,利用双重差分法分析“一带一路”倡议政策对中国企业对外直接投资的促进效应及该效应在“一带一路”共建国家的差异,并用因子分析法得到的营商环境得分指标进一步分析“一带一路”共建国家营商环境对承接中国OFDI的影响。研究结果表明,“一带一路”倡议政策出台显著地促进了中国企业对“一带一路”共建国家的对外直接投资且促进效应不具备持续性,营商环境越好越有利于吸引中国OFDI。本文的研究为评估“一带一路”政策效应提供了经验证据,建议通过双方或多方的努力完善营商环境;为精准实施“一带一路”倡议、推进中国企业参与全球价值链分工和扩大对外开放提供参考。

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Abstract:Chinese enterprises’ outward foreign direct investment(OFDI)not only considers the business environment of the target country,but also the economic benefits of the investment. How to ensure the safety of investment projects in the process of participating in foreign direct investment and integrate the benefits brought by the global value chain is an important part of promoting the “Belt and Road” construction. This article consi... 展开

Abstract:Chinese enterprises’ outward foreign direct investment(OFDI)not only considers the business environment of the target country,but also the economic benefits of the investment. How to ensure the safety of investment projects in the process of participating in foreign direct investment and integrate the benefits brought by the global value chain is an important part of promoting the “Belt and Road” construction. This article considers the 2013 “Belt and Road” initiative policy as a quasi-natural experiment,using the difference-in-difference method to analyze the promotion effect of the “Belt and Road” initiative policy on Chinese enterprises’ direct foreign investment and its effect in countries(regions)along the “Belt and Road”,we also use the business environment score indicators obtained by factor analysis to further analyze the impact of the business environment of the countries(regions)along the “Belt and Road” on China’s acceptance of OFDI. The research results show that the introduction of the “Belt and Road” initiative policy has significantly promoted Chinese companies foreign direct investment in countries along the “Belt and Road”,and the promotion effect is not sustainable. The better the business environment is,the better it is to attract China’s OFDI. It provides empirical evidence for evaluating the effects of the “Belt and Road” policy. It is suggested that efforts to improve the business environment through the efforts of two or more parties can provide a reference for the precise implementation of the “Belt and Road” initiative to promote the participation of Chinese enterprises in the division of global value chains and expand opening up.

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作者简介

徐正丽:徐正丽,桂林电子科技大学中国-东盟信息港数字经济研究院讲师,研究方向为“一带一路”共建国家(地区)投资与安全。

吴俊:吴俊,桂林电子科技大学中国-东盟信息港数字经济研究院讲师,研究方向为“一带一路”共建国家(地区)投资与安全、离岸金融。

蔡翔:蔡翔,桂林电子科技大学商学院教授,研究方向为环境规则与对外直接投资。

甘晓丽:甘晓丽,桂林电子科技大学中国-东盟信息港数字经济研究院副教授,研究方向为“一带一路”共建国家(地区)投资与安全、家庭金融。