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降低工商业电价对河南整体价格水平影响研究——基于社会核算矩阵分析

作者:金艳鸣 王圆圆 出版日期:2019年05月 报告页数:14 页 报告大小: 报告字数:12506 字 所属丛书:河南蓝皮书 所属图书:河南能源发展报告(2019) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2018年,河南省贯彻落实国家降低一般工商业电价工作部署,完成了降低一般工商业电价10%的目标,直接降低工商业用户用电成本近40亿元。本文利用河南省社会核算矩阵评估政策实施对河南省整体价格水平影响效果,通过价格传导,分析工商业电价变化对河南生产价格与消费价格水平以及其他部门产品最终价格波动的影响。研究表明,由于河南经济以第二产业为主,用电结构中第二产业用电量占比约66%,降低工商业电价对河南省经济社会整体价格水平影响短期效果有限。

Abstract:In 2018,Henan Province implemented the national plan to reduce the general industrial and commercial electricity price,completed the goal of reducing the general industrial and commercial electricity price by 10%,and directly reduced the cost of electricity for industrial and commercial users by nearly 4 billion yuan. This paper uses Henan social accounting matrix to evaluate the effect of policy implementation on the overall price... 展开

Abstract:In 2018,Henan Province implemented the national plan to reduce the general industrial and commercial electricity price,completed the goal of reducing the general industrial and commercial electricity price by 10%,and directly reduced the cost of electricity for industrial and commercial users by nearly 4 billion yuan. This paper uses Henan social accounting matrix to evaluate the effect of policy implementation on the overall price level of Henan Province. Through price transmission,it analyzes the impact of industrial and commercial electricity price changes on Henan production price and consumer price level and final product price fluctuations of other sectors. The research shows that because Henan’s economy is dominated by the secondary industry,the electricity consumption of secondary electricity production accounts for about 66%,and the short-term effect of reducing industrial and commercial electricity prices on the economic price level of Henan Province is limited.

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作者简介

金艳鸣:金艳鸣,国网能源研究院有限公司战略与规划所高级工程师,博士,研究方向为能源战略、环境政策分析、CGE模型等。

王圆圆:王圆圆,国网河南省电力公司经济技术研究院高级工程师,博士,研究方向为电网规划设计。