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2020年东京都选举及政局走向分析

作者:孟明铭 出版日期:2021年10月 报告页数:13 页 报告大小: 报告字数:11664 字 所属丛书:日本蓝皮书 所属图书:日本研究报告(2021) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2020年7月,日本东京都举行了四年一度的知事选举。在新冠疫情影响的大背景下,以东京都知事小池百合子为代表的20多名候选人围绕防疫、复兴等问题展开角逐,最终小池百合子赢得连任。小池胜选既有自身执政成绩稳定、防疫形象突出、善于操控舆论等内因,也有东京都内的主要政党支持或默认、在野党竞争力不强等重要外因。此次选举结果有利于稳定小池阵营“都民第一会”在2021年都议会选举中的选情;小池与自民党的关系得以暂时缓解,但其本人未来不大可能像2017年都议会选举... 展开

文章摘要:2020年7月,日本东京都举行了四年一度的知事选举。在新冠疫情影响的大背景下,以东京都知事小池百合子为代表的20多名候选人围绕防疫、复兴等问题展开角逐,最终小池百合子赢得连任。小池胜选既有自身执政成绩稳定、防疫形象突出、善于操控舆论等内因,也有东京都内的主要政党支持或默认、在野党竞争力不强等重要外因。此次选举结果有利于稳定小池阵营“都民第一会”在2021年都议会选举中的选情;小池与自民党的关系得以暂时缓解,但其本人未来不大可能像2017年都议会选举后那样借势参加中央选举。另外,此次选举中显露出的民粹主义动向,值得我们进一步关注。

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Abstract:In July 2020,the quadrennial election for governor of Tokyo was held. Under the the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic,more than 20 candidates including the current governor Koike Yuriko participated in the election,and finally Koike won the re-election. The main reasons for Koike’s victory in the election include the stable governing performance,a positive image in epidemic prevention,success in manipulating public opinion,suppor... 展开

Abstract:In July 2020,the quadrennial election for governor of Tokyo was held. Under the the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic,more than 20 candidates including the current governor Koike Yuriko participated in the election,and finally Koike won the re-election. The main reasons for Koike’s victory in the election include the stable governing performance,a positive image in epidemic prevention,success in manipulating public opinion,support from major political forces in Tokyo and the lack of competitiveness of the opposition parties. The result of that election will be beneficial to the election of the Koike’s “tomin-first” party in the 2021 Tokyo Metropolitan Assembly Election;the tension between Koike and the Liberal Democratic Party will be temporarily relaxed,however,it is still unlikely that she will participate in the parliamentary election. In addition,the growing trend of populism in Japan reflected in that election deserve our further attention.

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作者简介

孟明铭:孟明铭,历史学博士,中国社会科学院日本研究所助理研究员,主要研究方向为日本政治。

孟明銘:暂无简介