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阿拉伯粮食安全压力趋缓

作者:刘冬 出版日期:2014年04月 报告页数:17 页 报告大小: 报告字数:13708 字 所属丛书:阿拉伯黄皮书 所属图书:阿拉伯发展报告(2013~2014) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:阿拉伯国家由于缺乏农业生产所必须的土地资源和水资源,几乎都不具备实现粮食自给的能力,粮食及其他基本食品只得依靠进口。普通民众对粮食价格的变动异常敏感。由于阿拉伯粮食安全具有外生性的特点,未来国际粮价的走势将是影响阿拉伯粮食安全状况的首要因素,由于未来全球粮食价格及其他基本食品价格将会出现回落,阿拉伯粮食安全状况将会有所改善,粮价问题引发政治动荡的可能性将会大幅降低,压力趋缓。

Abstract:Due to the lack of agricultural production and the necessary land and water resources,almost no Arab country has the ability to achieve food self-sufficiency,or the Arabs have to rely on imports for food and other basic foodstuffs. The inhabitants feel extremely sensitive to food prices . As the Arab food security has exogenous characteristics,the future trend of international food prices will be the primary factor affecting the Ar... 展开

Abstract:Due to the lack of agricultural production and the necessary land and water resources,almost no Arab country has the ability to achieve food self-sufficiency,or the Arabs have to rely on imports for food and other basic foodstuffs. The inhabitants feel extremely sensitive to food prices . As the Arab food security has exogenous characteristics,the future trend of international food prices will be the primary factor affecting the Arab food security situation. Since it is anticipated that the future global food prices and other basic food prices will fall,the Arab food security situation will be somewhat improved. In turn,the risks of food prices incurred political unrest will be substantially reduced.

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作者简介

刘冬:刘冬,中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所。