澳门经济发展状况、质量与趋势分析

Abstract:The state of the economy of Macao has been extraordinary in 2015. Due to the 19-month of consecutive fall in gaming revenue，the economy of Macao has entered into a period of deep adjustment，affecting all sectors. Macao’s Gross Domestic Product for the first three quarters of 2015 has contracted 24.5%，26.4% and 24.2% in real terms respectively. Macao has entered into a longest period of negative economic growth with the largest scale since the establishment of the Special Administrative Region.Following the normalisation of the US Dollar through increase in interest rates，it is predicted that the global economy will remain uncertain in 2016. Similarly，it is difficult to foresee any significant improvement for Macao’s economy. It is expected that the Macao economy will stabilise on a lower base. In normal circumstances，the GDP growth range is expected to be between -2% and 2%. However，the heavy influence of the Mainland economy to Macao’s economy would affect the accuracy of the forecast.

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