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2019年中国经济回顾与2020年展望

作者:李平 刘强 董婉璐 出版日期:2020年08月 报告页数:11 页 报告大小: 报告字数:7072 字 所属丛书:石油蓝皮书 所属图书:中国石油产业发展报告(2020) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:本文首先对中国2019年经济走势进行回顾,运用经济增长理论及相关的实证分析对改革开放以来的经济增长来源进行要素分解,并以此为基础分析中国经济未来的增长潜力与发展趋势。综合各要素发展情况,未来15~20年中国经济仍将保持较快增长速度,到2035年基本实现社会主义现代化。

Abstract:This paper reviews the economic situation of China in 2019 at first,and then analyzes the origins of economic growth through the growth theory as well as related empirical test. Based on the decomposing of the contribution of various factors,the paper analyzes and forecasts the potential of economic growth of China in mid-and-long-term,as well as the tendency. The conclusion is that China can still maintain a mid-and-high growth ra... 展开

Abstract:This paper reviews the economic situation of China in 2019 at first,and then analyzes the origins of economic growth through the growth theory as well as related empirical test. Based on the decomposing of the contribution of various factors,the paper analyzes and forecasts the potential of economic growth of China in mid-and-long-term,as well as the tendency. The conclusion is that China can still maintain a mid-and-high growth rate in the coming 15-20 years,and will fulfill the task of modernization by 2035.

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作者简介

李平:李平,中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所所长、研究员。

刘强:刘强,中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所能源安全与新能源研究室主任、研究员,全球能源安全智库论坛秘书长。

董婉璐:董婉璐,中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所助理研究员。