2023~2024年欧洲经济：低速增长

Abstract:TDue to the persistent impacts of the Ukraine conflict，the European economy has broadly stagnated since the latter part of 2022. Energy supply disruptions，coupled with rising price pressures have increasingly dampened domestic spending and production. To ensure a timely return of inflation to the medium-term target，the European Central Bank has embarked on its most assertive interest rate hike campaign in history，raising key interest rates to an all-time high. This，in turn，tilts the economic growth risk to the downside. Meanwhile，global trade momentum continues to moderate，which diminishes the role of foreign trade in supporting the economic recovery. Overall，the European economy is expected to remain subdued in 2023，with annual real GDP growth projected to range from 0.2% to 0.5%，before a gradual recovery to a range of 0.6% to 0.9% in 2024.

收起