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伊朗《2025年愿景》发展规划及前景:成就与差距

作者:陆瑾 肖锐昂 所属图书:中东发展报告No.24(2021~2022) 图书作者:王林聪 刘冬 出版时间:2022年10月 所属丛书:
报告字数:15555字 报告页数:17页

文章摘要:伊朗《2025年愿景》是由伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊颁布的国家20年发展战略指南,其核心目标是伊朗在2025年成为一个发达国家,科技及经济发展水平居地区之首。伊朗《2025年愿景》强调利用知识效能与资源禀赋推动经济可持续发展,标志着伊朗伊斯兰政权发展理念的转变。为落实《2025年愿景》目标,伊朗一些部门制定了自己的20年发展规划。过去10多年里,由于受到复杂的内外因素影响,这些部门发展规划有些完成情况较好,已取得丰硕成果;有些进展不顺利,与既定目标相差甚远。伊朗... 展开

文章摘要:伊朗《2025年愿景》是由伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊颁布的国家20年发展战略指南,其核心目标是伊朗在2025年成为一个发达国家,科技及经济发展水平居地区之首。伊朗《2025年愿景》强调利用知识效能与资源禀赋推动经济可持续发展,标志着伊朗伊斯兰政权发展理念的转变。为落实《2025年愿景》目标,伊朗一些部门制定了自己的20年发展规划。过去10多年里,由于受到复杂的内外因素影响,这些部门发展规划有些完成情况较好,已取得丰硕成果;有些进展不顺利,与既定目标相差甚远。伊朗是最早表示坚定支持“一带一路”倡议的国家之一,2016年中伊建立全面战略伙伴关系,两国政府签署了17个“一带一路”框架下的合作文件,但由于伊朗国内政治和美国恢复对伊制裁等原因未能得到很好的实施。2021年3月,中伊签署“全面合作计划”。伴随该合作计划进入实施阶段,中伊在“一带一路”框架下的战略合作不断深化。从目前的总体情况看,伊朗如期全面实现《2025年愿景》目标仍面临诸多挑战。

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Abstract:“2025 Vision” file is a 20-year national development strategic guide introduced by Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali. Its core target is to become a developed country,ranking first in economy and science technology fields in the Middle East. The “2025 Vision” emphasizes sustainable development by using knowledge efficiency and resource,marking the shift in the Islamic regime’s development philosophy. To reach the targets in ... 展开

Abstract:“2025 Vision” file is a 20-year national development strategic guide introduced by Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali. Its core target is to become a developed country,ranking first in economy and science technology fields in the Middle East. The “2025 Vision” emphasizes sustainable development by using knowledge efficiency and resource,marking the shift in the Islamic regime’s development philosophy. To reach the targets in the file,some sectors and industries have laid different plans. In the past ten years,due to the complex internal and external factors,some sectors have completed their targets,making great achievements,while some have not progressed well and fallen far short of the set goals. When China brought out the “Belt and Road” Initiative,Iran was one of the first countries to throw their weight behind China. The year 2016 witnessed the establishment of a comprehensive strategic partnership between China and Iran. The two countries signed 17 cooperation documents under the “Belt and Road” Initiative framework,but due to domestic polity and sanctions imposed by Donald Trump,the cooperation documents did not get implemented effectively. China and Iran signed “Comprehensive Cooperation Plan” in March,2021. With the agreement entering the implement stage,strategic cooperation between China and Iran has deepened constantly. Judging from current overall situation,challenges will outweigh opportunities in realizing the goals of “2025 Vision” on schedule.

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作者简介

陆瑾:陆瑾,文学博士,中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所政治研究室副研究员、中国海湾研究中心副秘书长,主要研究方向为伊朗内政、外交和中伊关系。

肖锐昂:肖锐昂,中国社会科学院大学(研究生院)西亚非洲研究系硕士研究生。

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