2022年秘鲁经济发展分析与展望

Abstract:The growth rate of Peru’s economy in 2019 was 2.2%，a new low since 2009. In 2020，affected by the COVID-19 pandemic，GDP declined by 11.1%. In 2021，after Peru took timely measures to control the pandemic，the economy rebounded significantly，with a growth rate of 13.5%. The first part of this report introduces the main factors that currently affect Peru’s economic development. The second part analyzes Peru’s economic development in the first half of 2022. The third part focuses on Peru’s fiscal and monetary policies and their effects. The fourth part analyzes the economic and trade cooperation between China and Peru. Finally，the report looks forward to the economic situation in 2022. In order to continue to recover the economy，the Peruvian government adopted a loose fiscal policy and a tight monetary policy in 2022；foreign trade declined significantly in 2020，but rebounded sharply in 2021；China-Peru bilateral trade has certain potential；the unemployment rate is at a high level. In 2022，affected by the rise in international energy and food prices brought about by the Russia-Ukraine conflict，Peru’s economic recovery will slow down. It is estimated that Peru’s economic growth rate will be 2.5% in 2022.

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