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印度洋国际环境变化与中国面临的战略选择

作者:朱翠萍 出版日期:2019年09月 报告页数:44 页 报告大小: 报告字数:42790 字 所属丛书:印度洋地区蓝皮书 所属图书:印度洋地区发展报告(2019) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:近两年,以美国和欧盟为主的西方经济体推行贸易保护主义政策,特别是特朗普政府基于“美国优先”而重新改写贸易规则,中国的对外贸易和投资方向将加速向印度洋拓展,中国将逐渐成为印度洋地区重要的经济与安全利益攸关方。而且,美国将战略重心从反恐转向制衡“战略竞争对手”,寄希望于印度洋地区域内国家印度和澳大利亚等承担更多安全责任的战略取向,引发了印度洋国际环境的新变化,大国在印度洋地区的战略竞争由弱向强呈现加剧的态势。同时,印度洋安全动荡局势不仅没... 展开

文章摘要:近两年,以美国和欧盟为主的西方经济体推行贸易保护主义政策,特别是特朗普政府基于“美国优先”而重新改写贸易规则,中国的对外贸易和投资方向将加速向印度洋拓展,中国将逐渐成为印度洋地区重要的经济与安全利益攸关方。而且,美国将战略重心从反恐转向制衡“战略竞争对手”,寄希望于印度洋地区域内国家印度和澳大利亚等承担更多安全责任的战略取向,引发了印度洋国际环境的新变化,大国在印度洋地区的战略竞争由弱向强呈现加剧的态势。同时,印度洋安全动荡局势不仅没有缓解,而且出现了进一步恶化的迹象。未来,美国依然是影响印度洋国际环境的最大变量,而域内大国印度也将成为影响印度洋国际环境的一个主要变量。在变化的印度洋国际环境中,中国在印度洋的安全需求大幅增长,助推中国将印度洋纳入战略视野,以适应中国在印度洋地区不断增长的经济利益与安全需求,并缓解大国战略竞争带来的压力。本报告认为,中国虽然不是印度洋国家,但中国是近印度洋国家,也就是说,中国是最接近印度洋的域外大国。由于近年来中国与印度洋沿岸国家的经济关系日益紧密,在印度洋地区面临的传统与非传统安全挑战日益突出,尤其是紧邻南中国海的东印度洋之于中国周边环境的战略重要性,

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Abstract:China’s attitudes and positions on Indian Ocean affairs have always been passive or. It is because that China is not an Indian Ocean country,and the Indian Ocean is not the main area of China’s foreign relations. Moreover,Western countries have rendered China’s economic activities in the Indian Ocean region a “pearl chain strategy”,which has created obstacles to China’s deepening economic cooperation with countries along the ... 展开

Abstract:China’s attitudes and positions on Indian Ocean affairs have always been passive or. It is because that China is not an Indian Ocean country,and the Indian Ocean is not the main area of China’s foreign relations. Moreover,Western countries have rendered China’s economic activities in the Indian Ocean region a “pearl chain strategy”,which has created obstacles to China’s deepening economic cooperation with countries along the Indian Ocean. In order to avoid causing more misunderstandings and concerns in neighboring countries,China’s consideration in the direction of the Indian Ocean presents a certain strategic inertia. In recent years,the United States and the European Union-dominated Western countries have implemented trade protectionist policies,especially the Trump administration has rewritten trade rules based on “US priority”,but China’s foreign trade and investment will accelerated toward the Indian Ocean. China will gradually become an important economic and security stakeholder in the Indian Ocean region. In the future,the United States will remain the biggest variable affecting the international environment of the Indian Ocean,and India,the great power in this region,will also become a major variable affecting the international environment of the Indian Ocean. In the changing Indian Ocean international environment,China’s security needs in the Indian Ocean have been risen sharply,which helping China to incorporate the Indian Ocean into its strategic vision to adapt to the rising economic interests and security needs of the Indian Ocean as well as to alleviate the pressure of strategic competition from great power. We believe that China is not an Indian Ocean country,but it is a near-Indian Ocean country. That is to say,China is the largest foreign country nearest to the Indian Ocean. Due to the increasingly close economic relations between China and the countries along the Indian Ocean in recent years,the traditional and non-traditional security challenges of the Indian Ocean have become increasingly prominent,especially the importance of the East Indian Ocean adjacent to the South China Sea to the surrounding environment of China,and actively shaping the political,economic and security environment is the choice of China’s foreign strategy for the next decade or even longer. China’s role in the Indian Ocean has always been a builder of economic prosperity,a participant in the development of international rules,and a contributor to maintaining common security as well. The main objectives of the China Indian Ocean Strategy are to maintain freedom of navigation in the Indian Ocean and to ensure the safety of maritime traffic lines,and to expand economic interests in the Indian Ocean region,which requires China to have corresponding military defense capabilities and military delivery capabilities,and play a constructive role which matches its ability in the security management of the Indian Ocean.

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作者简介

朱翠萍:朱翠萍,云南财经大学印度洋地区研究中心教授。