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国际大变局:日本的选择与应对——2018~2019年日本形势回顾与展望

作者:杨伯江 出版日期:2019年07月 报告页数:25 页 报告大小: 报告字数:26430 字 所属丛书:日本蓝皮书 所属图书:日本研究报告(2019) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2018年安倍晋三再次赢得自民党总裁选举,距成为日本宪政史上任职时间最长的首相仅剩一步之遥。安倍执政地位稳固,但民意基础也有所流失。2018年日本遭遇国际变局的剧烈冲击,其烈度不亚于冷战结束以及1971年的两次“尼克松冲击”。对此,日本强化战略自主概念,多向对冲国际权力转移趋势,寻找大国关系平衡点,探索构建多元化战略关系。日本在“回归亚洲”、引领推动地区经济合作方面颇有斩获,但也受到近周边外交短板的结构性制约。2018年中日关系重回正常发展轨道,第三... 展开

文章摘要:2018年安倍晋三再次赢得自民党总裁选举,距成为日本宪政史上任职时间最长的首相仅剩一步之遥。安倍执政地位稳固,但民意基础也有所流失。2018年日本遭遇国际变局的剧烈冲击,其烈度不亚于冷战结束以及1971年的两次“尼克松冲击”。对此,日本强化战略自主概念,多向对冲国际权力转移趋势,寻找大国关系平衡点,探索构建多元化战略关系。日本在“回归亚洲”、引领推动地区经济合作方面颇有斩获,但也受到近周边外交短板的结构性制约。2018年中日关系重回正常发展轨道,第三方市场合作扬帆起航并初见成效。中日关系实现转圜、深化合作受到多方因素支撑,但要行稳致远仍面临诸多挑战。为此,应抓紧落实细化第三方市场合作,增进现实共同利益;持续扩大两国关系的积极面,抑制消极面,有效管控矛盾和分歧;强化两国民间人文交流,夯实社会民意基础。2018年、安倍晋三は再び自民党総裁選挙に勝利し、日本憲政史上在職期間最長の首相となるまで、あとわずかとなった。安倍政権の地位は安定しているが、民意の基礎はやや離れている。2018年に日本は世界の大変動の強烈な衝撃を受けたが、その強さは冷戦終結や1971年の2度にわたる「ニクソンショック」に

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Abstract:In the year 2018,Shinzo Abe won the LDP presidential election again in 2018,moving closely to become Japan’s longest-serving prime minister in the constitutional history. Prime Minister Abe has a solid power foundation but is also losing some support in Japan’s public opinion. In 2018,Japan is faced with great challenges brought by the current global change,which is similar with the situation as the end of the Cold War and the ... 展开

Abstract:In the year 2018,Shinzo Abe won the LDP presidential election again in 2018,moving closely to become Japan’s longest-serving prime minister in the constitutional history. Prime Minister Abe has a solid power foundation but is also losing some support in Japan’s public opinion. In 2018,Japan is faced with great challenges brought by the current global change,which is similar with the situation as the end of the Cold War and the “Nixon shock” in 1971. In that context,Japan attempts to strengthen its strategic autonomy,hedge the trend of international power transition through various channels,seek for a balance position for great power relations and build multi-dimensional strategic partnerships overseas. Japan has made some progress in “returning to Asia” and assuming the leadership in regional economic cooperation,however,it is also restrained by some structural problems caused by its neighboring diplomacy. The Sino-Japanese relations has come back to the normal track of development in 2018,with the third-party market cooperation starting to gain some progress and rewards. There are favorable conditions as well as challenges for the steady development of Sino-Japanese relations. Therefore,great effort should be made in implementing the third-party market cooperation based on common interests,continuously expanding the positive side of the relations and restrain the negative side,effectively managing contradictions and differences,strengthening people-to-people exchanges and consolidating the social foundation and public opinion favorable for the development of Sino-Japanese relations.

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作者简介

杨伯江:杨伯江,法学博士,中国社会科学院日本研究所所长、研究员、博士生导师,研究方向为国际关系、亚太地区安全、日本问题。

楊伯江:暂无简介