2018～2019年世界经济形势分析与展望

Abstract:The world economic growth in 2018 kept the same rate as in 2017，but most countries’ growth rates were slowdown. Global unemployment rates were in low level. Sufficient employment and rising commodities’ prices caused slightly higher inflation. International trade and investment grew slowly. Global outstanding debt has been rising continuously and some turbulences occurred in international financial markets.There are many challenges facing world economy，which include that the slowdown of US economic growth has large possibility，more turbulences will occur in international financial markets，the policy rooms of stimulus in many economies will be limited，trade war will exert negative influence on the world，the measures of anti-globalization will increase barriers of international trade and investment. Moreover，geopolitical risks，populism and nationalism may bring negative effects on the stability and development of world economy. It is expected that the PPP-based GDP growth rate of the world economy is 3.5% in 2019.

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